College of Economics and Management, Shenyang Agricultural University, Shenyang, 110866, Liaoning, People's Republic of China.
Chinese Academy of Inspection and Quarantine, Beijing, 100176, People's Republic of China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jun;29(29):44668-44677. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-18958-w. Epub 2022 Feb 8.
A study on the value accounting of forest carbon sink services can promote the rapid development of the carbon sink market and help better understand the impact of forest carbon sinks on climate change and economic development. However, few studies have evaluated the value of China's current forest carbon sink services. Based on research on carbon peak and carbon neutrality, according to the characteristics of China's forest ecosystems and forest resource inventory data, the stock volume method was used to measure the amount and value of forest carbon sinks in China in 2009-2013 and 2014-2018. The results showed that: (1) the physical amount of forest carbon aggregates in China increased from 2009 to 2013 and from 2014 to 2018. The carbon storage of natural and plantation forests both showed an upward trend. Among them, the growth rate of the carbon storage of plantation forests was higher than that of natural forests. (2) The state, adjoint, and coupling equations of forest carbon sinks were employed to ascertain the best price for China's forest carbon sinks in 2020. The results showed that the price of China's forest carbon sinks was slightly higher than the internationally accepted carbon sink price, reflecting that the changes in the value of China's forest carbon sinks and international carbon sinks were roughly the same. (3) We obtained an appropriate accounting model for China's forest carbon sinks. (4) The value of China's forest carbon sinks increased from 2009 to 2013 and from 2014 to 2018. Although the price of carbon sinks has declined, the overall forest resource stock has increased, especially in plantation forests. The increase in the value of carbon sinks was as high as 24.7%, resulting in an overall increase in the value of forest carbon sinks, which was also in line with the physical amount of forest carbon sinks. The measurement conclusions were consistent. Several key points to note based on these findings are as follows: (1) China's current forest carbon sink transactions are all project-level certified emission reduction transactions, and diversified non-market means should be constructed to comprehensively promote carbon sink transactions. (2) China's current carbon sink transactions are mainly clean development mechanism projects, with few transactions between enterprises, and the carbon trading market situation is not optimistic. (3) The key to effective forest carbon sequestration trading is the accurate accounting of forest carbon storage and carbon sequestration value. Thus, it is of great significance to establish a forest carbon sequestration measurement method that is economical, simple, and accurate. (4) The physical amount and value of carbon sequestration of China's forest resources are rising, and the contribution rate is increasing year by year. However, there is still a gap in per capita forest area and storage compared with those in other countries worldwide. Thus, China must be vigilant in times of peace and further strengthen the protection and construction of forest resources.
对森林碳汇服务的价值核算进行研究,可以促进碳汇市场的快速发展,帮助更好地理解森林碳汇对气候变化和经济发展的影响。然而,目前很少有研究评估中国当前森林碳汇服务的价值。基于碳达峰碳中和研究,根据中国森林生态系统特点和森林资源清查数据,采用蓄积量法分别测算了 2009-2013 年和 2014-2018 年中国森林碳汇的储量及其价值。结果表明:(1)中国森林碳汇物质存量呈先增加后减少的变化趋势,其中,2009-2013 年自然和人工林碳储量均呈上升趋势,且人工林碳储量的增长速度高于天然林;(2)运用森林碳汇状态、伴随和耦合方程,确定了中国 2020 年森林碳汇价格,结果显示,中国森林碳汇价格略高于国际公认的碳汇价格,反映出中国森林碳汇价值变化与国际碳汇价格变化基本一致;(3)得到了适合中国森林碳汇的核算模型;(4)中国森林碳汇价值量呈现先增加后减少的变化趋势,虽然碳汇价格呈下降趋势,但整体森林资源存量增加,特别是人工林,碳汇价值增加高达 24.7%,整体呈现森林碳汇价值量增加的趋势,与森林碳汇物质存量的变化趋势相吻合。基于这些发现,有以下几个需要注意的关键点:(1)中国当前的森林碳汇交易均为项目级核证减排交易,应构建多元化的非市场手段,全面推动碳汇交易;(2)中国当前的碳汇交易主要以清洁发展机制项目为主,企业间交易较少,碳交易市场形势不容乐观;(3)有效开展森林碳汇交易的关键是准确核算森林碳储量和碳汇价值,建立经济、简单、准确的森林碳汇计量方法意义重大;(4)中国森林资源碳储量和固碳价值呈上升趋势,且贡献率逐年增加,但人均森林面积和蓄积仍低于世界平均水平,因此,在和平时期仍需保持警惕,进一步加强森林资源的保护和建设。