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伊朗克尔曼沙阿省 27256 例住院 COVID-19 患者的人口统计学、临床特征和结局:一项回顾性一年队列研究。

Demographics, clinical characteristics, and outcomes of 27,256 hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Kermanshah Province, Iran: a retrospective one-year cohort study.

机构信息

Department of Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Guilan University of Medical Sciences, Rasht, Iran.

Infectious Diseases Research Center, Health Institute, Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences, Kermanshah, Iran.

出版信息

BMC Infect Dis. 2022 Mar 31;22(1):319. doi: 10.1186/s12879-022-07312-7.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Since the first official report of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Iran on 19 February 2020, our country has been one of the worst affected countries by the COVID-19 epidemic in the Middle East. In addition to demographic and clinical characteristics, the number of hospitalized cases and deaths is an important factor for evidence-based decision-making and disease control and preparing the healthcare system to face the future challenges of COVID-19. Therefore, this cohort study was conducted to determine the demographics, clinical characteristics, and outcomes of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Kermanshah Province, west of Iran.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective cohort study included all suspected, probable, and confirmed cases of COVID-19 hospitalized in Kermanshah Province, Iran during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. Demographics, clinical characteristics, outcomes and other additional information of hospitalized patients were collected from the COVID-19 database of the Medical Care Monitoring Center (MCMC) of Kermanshah Province.

RESULTS

Kermanshah Province experienced three waves of COVID-19 infection considering the hospitalization and mortality rates between February 20, 2020 and February 19, 2021. A total of 27,256 patients were included in the study: 5203 (19.09%) subjects were suspected, 9136(33.52%) were probable, and 12,917 (47.39%) were confirmed COVID-19 cases. The mean age of the patients was 53.34 ± 22.74 years and 14,648 (53.74%) were male. The median length of hospital stay among COVID-19 survivors and non-survivors patients were 4 (interquartile range [IQR] 1-6) and 4 (IQR 1-8) days, respectively. Among patients with COVID-19, 2646 (9.71%) died during hospitalization. A multivariable logistic regression revealed that odds of death among patients ≥ 85 years was significantly greater than among patients < 15 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.43-6.71, p≤ 0.001). Patients with one (aOR 1.38, 95% CI 1.21-1.59, p = 0.04), two (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.27-1.92, p = 0.001) or more (aOR 1.50, 95% CI 1.04-2.17, p = 0.03) comorbidities had higher odds of in-hospital death compared to those without comorbidities. The male sex (aOR 1.20, 95% CI 1.07- 1.35, p = 0.002), ICU admission (aOR 4.35, 95% CI 3.80-4.97, p < 0.001), intubation (aOR 11.09, 95% CI 9.58-12.84, p < 0.001), respiratory distress (aOR 1.40, 95% CI 1.22-1.61, p < 0.001), loss of consciousness (aOR 1.81, 95% CI 1.45-2.25, p < 0.001), anorexia (aOR 1.36, 95% CI 1.09-1.70, p = 0.006) and peripheral oxygen saturation (SpO2) < 93(aOR 2.72, 95% CI 2.34-3.16, p < 0.001) on admission were associated with increased risk of death in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Having cough (aOR 0.82, 95% CI 0.72-0.93, p = 0.003) and headache (aOR 0.70, 95% CI 0.50-0.97, p = 0.03) decreased the odds of death.

CONCLUSION

The mortality rate of the patients admitted to the general wards and ICU can be a guide for allocating resources and making appropriate plans to provide better medical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic. Several risk factors are associated with the in-hospital mortality of COVID-19, including advanced age, male sex, ICU admission, intubation, having comorbidity, SpO2 < 93, respiratory distress, loss of consciousness, headache, anorexia, and cough. These risk factors could help clinicians identify patients at high risk for death.

摘要

背景

自 2020 年 2 月 19 日伊朗首次报告 SARS-CoV-2 感染以来,我国一直是中东 COVID-19 疫情最严重的国家之一。除了人口统计学和临床特征外,住院病例和死亡人数是基于证据的决策以及疾病控制和为未来 COVID-19 挑战做好准备的医疗保健系统的重要因素。因此,进行了这项多中心回顾性队列研究,以确定伊朗克尔曼沙阿省 COVID-19 住院患者的人口统计学、临床特征和结局。

方法

这项多中心回顾性队列研究纳入了伊朗克尔曼沙阿省 COVID-19 大流行期间 2020 年 2 月 20 日至 2021 年 2 月 19 日住院的疑似、可能和确诊 COVID-19 病例。从克尔曼沙阿省医疗保健监测中心(MCMC)的 COVID-19 数据库中收集了住院患者的人口统计学、临床特征、结局和其他附加信息。

结果

考虑到住院和死亡率,克尔曼沙阿省在 2020 年 2 月 20 日至 2021 年 2 月 19 日期间经历了三波 COVID-19 感染。共纳入 27256 例患者:5203 例(19.09%)为疑似病例,9136 例(33.52%)为可能病例,12917 例(47.39%)为确诊 COVID-19 病例。患者的平均年龄为 53.34±22.74 岁,14648 例(53.74%)为男性。COVID-19 幸存者和非幸存者患者的中位住院时间分别为 4(四分位间距 [IQR] 1-6)和 4(IQR 1-8)天。在 COVID-19 患者中,2646 例(9.71%)在住院期间死亡。多变量逻辑回归显示,年龄≥85 岁的患者死亡的可能性明显大于年龄<15 岁的患者(调整后的优势比 [aOR] 4.79,95%置信区间 [CI] 3.43-6.71,p≤0.001)。有 1 种(aOR 1.38,95%CI 1.21-1.59,p=0.04)、2 种(aOR 1.56,95%CI 1.27-1.92,p=0.001)或更多(aOR 1.50,95%CI 1.04-2.17,p=0.03)合并症的患者与无合并症的患者相比,住院死亡的可能性更高。男性(aOR 1.20,95%CI 1.07-1.35,p=0.002)、入住 ICU(aOR 4.35,95%CI 3.80-4.97,p<0.001)、插管(aOR 11.09,95%CI 9.58-12.84,p<0.001)、呼吸窘迫(aOR 1.40,95%CI 1.22-1.61,p<0.001)、意识丧失(aOR 1.81,95%CI 1.45-2.25,p<0.001)、厌食(aOR 1.36,95%CI 1.09-1.70,p=0.006)和入院时外周血氧饱和度(SpO2)<93(aOR 2.72,95%CI 2.34-3.16,p<0.001)与 SARS-CoV-2 感染患者的死亡风险增加相关。咳嗽(aOR 0.82,95%CI 0.72-0.93,p=0.003)和头痛(aOR 0.70,95%CI 0.50-0.97,p=0.03)降低了死亡的可能性。

结论

普通病房和 ICU 住院患者的死亡率可以指导资源分配和制定适当计划,以便在 COVID-19 大流行期间提供更好的医疗干预。一些危险因素与 COVID-19 住院患者的院内死亡率相关,包括年龄较大、男性、入住 ICU、插管、合并症、SpO2<93、呼吸窘迫、意识丧失、头痛、厌食和咳嗽。这些危险因素可以帮助临床医生识别死亡风险较高的患者。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4564/8973789/177a1f7a47f7/12879_2022_7312_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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