Department of Mathematics , United States Naval Academy , Annapolis , Maryland , USA.
Department of Surgery , Johns Hopkins Hospital , Baltimore , Maryland , USA.
Liver Transpl. 2023 Jan 1;29(1):26-33. doi: 10.1002/lt.26527. Epub 2022 Aug 4.
Recent changes to liver allocation replaced donor service areas with circles as the geographic unit of allocation. Circle-based allocation might increase the number of transplantation centers and candidates required to place a liver, thereby increasing the logistical burden of making and responding to offers on organ procurement organizations and transplantation centers. Circle-based allocation might also increase distribution time and cold ischemia time (CIT), particularly in densely populated areas of the country, thereby decreasing allocation efficiency. Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipient data from 2019 to 2021, we evaluated the number of transplantation centers and candidates required to place livers in the precircles and postcircles eras, nationally and by donor region. Compared with the precircles era, livers were offered to more candidates (5 vs. 9; p < 0.001) and centers (3 vs. 5; p < 0.001) before being accepted; more centers were involved in the match run by offer number 50 (9 vs. 14; p < 0.001); CIT increased by 0.2 h (5.9 h vs. 6.1 h; p < 0.001); and distribution time increased by 2.0 h (30.6 h vs. 32.6 h; p < 0.001). Increased burden varied geographically by donor region; livers recovered in Region 9 were offered to many more candidates (4 vs. 12; p < 0.001) and centers (3 vs. 8; p < 0.001) before being accepted, resulting in the largest increase in CIT (5.4 h vs. 6.0 h; p < 0.001). Circle-based allocation is associated with increased logistical burdens that are geographically heterogeneous. Continuous distribution systems will have to be carefully designed to avoid exacerbating this problem.
最近,肝脏分配的规则变化将供体服务区改为以圆形作为分配的地理单位。基于圆形的分配方式可能会增加需要进行肝脏移植的移植中心和候选人的数量,从而增加器官获取组织和移植中心提出和响应要约的后勤负担。基于圆形的分配方式还可能增加分配时间和冷缺血时间(CIT),特别是在该国人口密集的地区,从而降低分配效率。利用 2019 年至 2021 年的移植受者科学登记处数据,我们评估了在预圈和后圈时代,全国范围内和按供体区域划分的需要进行肝脏移植的移植中心和候选人的数量。与预圈时代相比,肝脏在被接受之前被提供给了更多的候选人(5 名与 9 名;p<0.001)和中心(3 名与 5 名;p<0.001);在 50 个要约号的匹配中,更多的中心参与其中(9 名与 14 名;p<0.001);CIT 增加了 0.2 小时(5.9 小时与 6.1 小时;p<0.001);分配时间增加了 2.0 小时(30.6 小时与 32.6 小时;p<0.001)。负担的增加在地理上因供体区域而异;在第 9 区回收的肝脏在被接受之前被提供给了更多的候选人(4 名与 12 名;p<0.001)和中心(3 名与 8 名;p<0.001),导致 CIT 增加最多(5.4 小时与 6.0 小时;p<0.001)。基于圆形的分配方式与地理上不均匀的后勤负担增加有关。连续分配系统将不得不精心设计,以避免加剧这一问题。