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耿贝尔分布的离散模拟:性质、参数估计及应用

A discrete analog of Gumbel distribution: properties, parameter estimation and applications.

作者信息

Chakraborty Subrata, Chakravarty Dhrubajyoti, Mazucheli Josmar, Bertoli Wesley

机构信息

Department of Statistics, Dibrugarh University, Dibrugarh, India.

Department of Statistics, PDUAM, Behali, India.

出版信息

J Appl Stat. 2020 Mar 24;48(4):712-737. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2020.1744538. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

A discrete version of the Gumbel distribution (Type-I Extreme Value distribution) has been derived by using the general approach of discretization of a continuous distribution. Important distributional and reliability properties have been explored. It has been shown that depending on the choice of parameters the proposed distribution can be positively or negatively skewed; possess long-tail(s). Log-concavity of the distribution and consequent results have been established. Estimation of parameters by method of maximum likelihood, method of moments, and method of proportions has been discussed. A method of checking model adequacy and regression type estimation based on empirical survival function has also been examined. A simulation study has been carried out to compare and check the efficacy of the three methods of estimations. The distribution has been applied to model three real count data sets from diverse application area namely, survival times in number of days, maximum annual floods data from Brazil and goal differences in English premier league, and the results show the relevance of the proposed distribution.

摘要

通过使用连续分布离散化的一般方法,推导出了耿贝尔分布(I型极值分布)的离散版本。探索了重要的分布和可靠性特性。结果表明,根据参数的选择,所提出的分布可以是正偏态或负偏态;具有长尾。建立了分布的对数凹性及相应结果。讨论了用最大似然法、矩法和比例法估计参数。还研究了一种基于经验生存函数检验模型适用性和回归类型估计的方法。进行了一项模拟研究,以比较和检验这三种估计方法的有效性。该分布已应用于对来自不同应用领域的三个实际计数数据集进行建模,即天数表示的生存时间、巴西的最大年洪水数据以及英超联赛中的净胜球数,结果表明了所提出分布的相关性。

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Analysis of lognormal survival data.
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