Wang Hongxia, Ji Yang, Zhang Keke, Shao Guangqiang
Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine Department, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, 1, Haiyuan 1st Road, Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong, People's Republic of China.
Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine Department, The University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen, China.
Open Med (Wars). 2022 Aug 1;17(1):1350-1356. doi: 10.1515/med-2022-0534. eCollection 2022.
Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a fatal condition particularly in critically ill patients. We determined the association among the cardiac troponin T (cTnT) level, acute physiologic and chronic health evaluation (APACHE III) scoring system, and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with acute PE. A total of 501 patients with PE were initially enrolled. According to the multivariable logistic regression model for in-hospital mortality, the odds ratio of the cTnT level and APACHE III score was 1.96 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.18-3.24, = 0.008) and 1.03 (95% CI = 1.02-1.05, < 0.001), respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) of cTnT and APACHE III score for in-hospital mortality was 0.630 (95% CI = 0.586-0.672, = 0.03) and 0.740 (95% CI = 0.699-0.778, = 0.02), respectively. The discriminatory cTnT and APACHE III threshold values for in-hospital mortality were 0.08 ng/L and 38 score, respectively; the sensitivities and specificities of cTnT were 46.48 and 83.10%, respectively, whereas those of the APACHE III score were 74.88 and 54.19%, respectively. The cTnT and APACHE III scores were combined in the logistic analysis model, and a regression equation was derived to calculate the in-hospital mortality. The AUC was found to increase to 0.788 (95% CI = 0.734-0.840, = 0.025). The sensitivity and specificity increased to 84.5 and 71.4%, respectively. The cTnT and APACHE III scores exhibited a significant association with in-hospital mortality of critically ill patients with PE. In conclusion, these parameters in combination can significantly improve the in-hospital mortality prediction.
肺栓塞(PE)是一种致命疾病,在重症患者中尤为如此。我们确定了急性PE重症患者的心肌肌钙蛋白T(cTnT)水平、急性生理与慢性健康评估(APACHE III)评分系统与院内死亡率之间的关联。最初共纳入501例PE患者。根据院内死亡率的多变量逻辑回归模型,cTnT水平和APACHE III评分的比值比分别为1.96(95%置信区间[CI]=1.18 - 3.24,P = 0.008)和1.03(95% CI = 1.02 - 1.05,P < 0.001)。cTnT和APACHE III评分预测院内死亡率的曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.630(95% CI = 0.586 - 0.672,P = 0.03)和0.740(95% CI = 0.699 - 0.778,P = 0.02)。cTnT和APACHE III评分预测院内死亡率的判别阈值分别为0.08 ng/L和38分;cTnT的敏感性和特异性分别为46.48%和83.10%,而APACHE III评分的敏感性和特异性分别为74.88%和54.19%。在逻辑分析模型中将cTnT和APACHE III评分相结合,并推导出一个回归方程来计算院内死亡率。发现AUC增至0.788(95% CI = 0.734 - 0.840,P = 0.025)。敏感性和特异性分别增至84.5%和71.4%。cTnT和APACHE III评分与急性PE重症患者院内死亡率显著相关。总之,这些参数联合使用可显著改善院内死亡率预测。