Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, Department of Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.
Nature. 2022 Oct;610(7930):101-106. doi: 10.1038/s41586-022-05122-0. Epub 2022 Oct 5.
Cloud reflectivity is sensitive to atmospheric aerosol concentrations because aerosols provide the condensation nuclei on which water condenses. Increased aerosol concentrations due to human activity affect droplet number concentration, liquid water and cloud fraction, but these changes are subject to large uncertainties. Ship tracks, long lines of polluted clouds that are visible in satellite images, are one of the main tools for quantifying aerosol-cloud interactions. However, only a small fraction of the clouds polluted by shipping show ship tracks. Here we show that even when no ship tracks are visible in satellite images, aerosol emissions change cloud properties substantially. We develop a new method to quantify the effect of shipping on all clouds, showing a cloud droplet number increase and a more positive liquid water response when there are no visible tracks. We directly detect shipping-induced cloud property changes in the trade cumulus regions of the Atlantic, which are known to display almost no visible tracks. Our results indicate that previous studies of ship tracks were suffering from selection biases by focusing only on visible tracks from satellite imagery. The strong liquid water path response we find translates to a larger aerosol cooling effect on the climate, potentially masking a higher climate sensitivity than observed temperature trends would otherwise suggest.
云的反射率对大气气溶胶浓度很敏感,因为气溶胶提供了水凝结所需的凝结核。人类活动导致的气溶胶浓度增加会影响液滴数浓度、液态水和云量,但这些变化存在很大的不确定性。船迹,即卫星图像中可见的长污染云线,是量化气溶胶-云相互作用的主要工具之一。然而,只有一小部分受航运污染的云显示出船迹。在这里,我们表明,即使在卫星图像中看不到船迹,气溶胶排放也会极大地改变云的性质。我们开发了一种新方法来量化航运对所有云的影响,结果表明,当没有可见的船迹时,云滴数会增加,液态水的响应更积极。我们在大西洋的贸易积云区直接探测到了由航运引起的云性质变化,这些地区通常没有明显的船迹。我们的研究结果表明,以前对船迹的研究由于仅关注卫星图像中可见的船迹而存在选择偏差。我们发现的强烈的液态水路径响应意味着气溶胶对气候的冷却效应更大,这可能掩盖了比观测到的温度趋势所表明的更高的气候敏感性。