Elander Ingemar, Granberg Mikael, Montin Stig
Örebro University, SE-701 82, Örebro, Sweden.
Political science and the Centre for Societal Risk Research, Karlstad University, SE- 651 88, Karlstad, Sweden.
Prog Plann. 2022 Oct;164:100634. doi: 10.1016/j.progress.2021.100634. Epub 2021 Nov 9.
The article describes and reflects upon how multi-level governance and planning in Sweden have been affected by and reacted upon three pending major challenges confronting humanity, namely climate change, migration and the Covid-19 pandemic. These 'crises' are broadly considered 'existential threats' in need of 'securitisation'. Causes and adequate reactions are contested, and there are no given solutions how to securitise the perceived threats, neither one by one, no less together. Government securitisation strategies are challenged by counter-securitisation demands, and plaguing vulnerable groups in society by in-securitising predicaments. Taking Sweden as an example the article applies an analytical approach drawing upon strands of securitisation, governance and planning theory. Targeting policy responses to the three perceived crises the intricate relations between government levels, responsibilities, capacities, and actions are scrutinized, including a focus upon the role of planning. Overriding research questions are: How has the governance and planning system - central, regional and local governments - in Sweden responded to the challenges of climate change, migration and Covid-19? What threats were identified? What solutions were proposed? What consequences could be traced? What prospects wait around the corner? Comparing crucial aspects of the crises' anatomies the article adds to the understanding of the way multilevel, cross-sectional, hybrid governance and planning respond to concurrent crises, thereby also offering clues for action in other geopolitical contexts. The article mainly draws upon recent and ongoing research on manifestations of three cases in the Swedish context. Applying a pragmatic, methodological approach combining elements of securitisation, governance and planning theories with Carol Lee Bacchi's 'What is the problem represented to be' and a touch of interpretive/narrative theory, the study reveals distinct differences between the anatomies of the three crises and their handling. Urgency, extension, state of knowledge/epistemology, governance and planning make different imprints on crises management. Sweden's long-term climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies imply slow, micro-steps forward based on a combination of social-liberal, 'circular' and a touch of 'green growth' economies. Migration policy displays a Janus face, on the one hand largely respecting the UN refugee quota system on the other hand applying a detailed regulatory framework causing severe insecurity especially for minor refugees wanting to stay and make their living in Sweden. The Covid-19 outbreak revealed a lack of foresight and eroded/fragmented responsibility causing huge stress upon personnel in elderly and health care and appalling death rates among elderly patients, although governance and planning slowly adapted through securitising policies, leading to potential de-securitisation of the issue. The three crises have caused a security wake-up among governments at all levels and the public in general, and the article concludes by discussing whether this 'perfect storm' of crises will result in a farewell to neoliberalism - towards a neo-regulatory state facing further challenges and crises for governance, planning and the role of planners. The tentative prospect rather indicates a mixture of context-dependent 'hybrid governance', thus also underlining the crucial role of planners' role as 'chameleons' in complicated governance processes of politics, policy and planning.
本文描述并反思了瑞典的多层次治理与规划如何受到人类面临的三大紧迫重大挑战,即气候变化、移民和新冠疫情的影响以及做出的反应。这些“危机”被广泛视为需要“安全化”的“生存威胁”。其成因和适当应对措施存在争议,对于如何将这些感知到的威胁进行安全化,无论是逐一应对还是综合应对,都没有既定的解决方案。政府的安全化策略受到反安全化需求的挑战,并因不安全化困境而困扰着社会中的弱势群体。本文以瑞典为例,运用了一种借鉴安全化、治理与规划理论的分析方法。针对对这三大感知到的危机的政策应对措施,详细审视了政府各级之间、责任、能力和行动之间的复杂关系,包括对规划作用的关注。首要的研究问题是:瑞典的治理与规划体系——中央、地区和地方政府——如何应对气候变化、移民和新冠疫情的挑战?识别出了哪些威胁?提出了哪些解决方案?可以追溯到哪些后果?即将面临哪些前景?通过比较这些危机剖析的关键方面,本文增进了对多层次、跨部门、混合治理与规划应对并发危机方式的理解,从而也为其他地缘政治背景下的行动提供了线索。本文主要借鉴了瑞典背景下近期和正在进行的关于三个案例表现形式的研究。该研究采用了一种务实的方法论方法,将安全化、治理与规划理论的要素与卡罗尔·李·巴奇的“问题被呈现为什么”以及一点解释性/叙事理论相结合,揭示了这三大危机剖析及其处理方式之间的明显差异。紧迫性、范围、知识/认识论状态、治理与规划在危机管理上留下了不同的印记。瑞典长期的气候变化缓解与适应策略意味着基于社会自由主义、“循环”以及一点“绿色增长”经济的结合,缓慢地、逐步地推进。移民政策呈现出两面性,一方面在很大程度上尊重联合国难民配额制度,另一方面应用详细的监管框架,这尤其给想要留在瑞典并在瑞典生活的未成年难民带来了严重的不安全感。新冠疫情的爆发揭示了缺乏远见以及责任的侵蚀/分散,给老年护理和医疗保健人员带来了巨大压力,老年患者的死亡率惊人,尽管治理与规划通过安全化政策慢慢进行了调整,导致该问题有可能实现去安全化。这三大危机在各级政府和公众中引发了安全意识的觉醒,本文最后讨论了这场危机的“完美风暴”是否会导致告别新自由主义——走向一个面临治理、规划及规划者角色方面进一步挑战和危机的新监管国家。初步的前景反而表明是一种依赖具体情境的“混合治理”,因此也凸显了规划者在政治、政策和规划的复杂治理过程中作为“变色龙”角色的关键作用。