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沙特阿拉伯王国绿色增长的驱动因素:金融发展能否促进环境可持续的经济增长?

Drivers of green growth in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: can financial development promote environmentally sustainable economic growth?

作者信息

Abro Asif Ali, Alam Naushad, Murshed Muntasir, Mahmood Haider, Musah Mohammed, Rahman A K M Atiqur

机构信息

Department of Business Administration, Newports Institute of Communications and Economics, Karachi, Pakistan.

Department of Finance and Economics, College of Commerce and Business Administration, Dhofar University, Salalah, Oman.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Feb;30(9):23764-23780. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-23867-z. Epub 2022 Nov 3.

Abstract

The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has recently declared its vision of turning carbon neutral by 2060. This declaration has motivated policymakers in this Arab nation to design policies that can green economic activities in Saudi Arabia so that environmentally sustainable growth can be ensured. Against this backdrop, this study models the independent and joint effects of financial development, globalization, and energy efficiency rates on green growth of the Saudi Arabian economy. In this regard, green growth in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is proxied by the difference between the nation's annual per capita growth rates of gross domestic product and carbon dioxide emission. Utilizing data from 1972 to 2018 and controlling for structural break-induced problems found in the data, the findings from the regression and causality analyses confirm the green growth-inhibiting impacts of financial development and trade globalization. In contrast, greater financial globalization is evidenced to drive green growth in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Furthermore, more efficient uses of energy resources are found to not only directly boost green growth but also partially neutralize the long-run green growth-dampening impacts associated with the development of the financial sector. In addition, financial development and trade globalization are observed to jointly inhibit green growth attainment both in the short and long run. In line with these important findings, it is recommended that the government of Saudi Arabia conceptualizes new green growth policies so that the nation's annual per capita economic growth rate outpaces its annual per capita growth rate of carbon dioxide emissions.

摘要

沙特阿拉伯王国最近宣布了到2060年实现碳中和的愿景。这一宣言促使这个阿拉伯国家的政策制定者设计出能够使沙特阿拉伯经济活动绿色化的政策,从而确保环境可持续增长。在此背景下,本研究对金融发展、全球化和能源效率对沙特阿拉伯经济绿色增长的独立和联合影响进行了建模。在这方面,沙特阿拉伯王国的绿色增长以该国国内生产总值人均年增长率与二氧化碳排放量之间的差异来衡量。利用1972年至2018年的数据,并控制数据中发现的结构突变引发的问题,回归分析和因果分析的结果证实了金融发展和贸易全球化对绿色增长具有抑制作用。相比之下,有证据表明更大程度的金融全球化推动了沙特阿拉伯王国的绿色增长。此外,人们发现更有效地利用能源资源不仅能直接促进绿色增长,还能部分抵消与金融部门发展相关的长期绿色增长抑制影响。此外,观察发现金融发展和贸易全球化在短期和长期内都共同抑制绿色增长的实现。根据这些重要发现,建议沙特阿拉伯政府制定新的绿色增长政策,以使该国的人均年经济增长率超过人均年二氧化碳排放量增长率。

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