Bae Geumil, Kim Jang Ho
Industrial and Systems Engineering, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST), Daejeon 34141, Korea.
Department of Industrial and Management Systems Engineering, Kyung Hee University, Yongin-si 17104, Korea.
Entropy (Basel). 2022 Nov 11;24(11):1643. doi: 10.3390/e24111643.
The cryptocurrency market is understood as being more volatile than traditional asset classes. Therefore, modeling the volatility of cryptocurrencies is important for making investment decisions. However, large swings in the market might be normal for cryptocurrencies due to their inherent volatility. Deviations, along with correlations of asset returns, must be considered for measuring the degree of market anomaly. This paper demonstrates the use of robust Mahalanobis distances based on shrinkage estimators and minimum covariance determinant for observing anomaly scores of cryptocurrencies. Our analysis shows that anomaly scores are a critical complement to volatility measures for understanding the cryptocurrency market. The use of anomaly scores is further demonstrated through portfolio optimization and scenario analysis.
加密货币市场被认为比传统资产类别更具波动性。因此,对加密货币的波动性进行建模对于做出投资决策很重要。然而,由于其固有的波动性,市场的大幅波动对加密货币来说可能是正常的。在衡量市场异常程度时,必须考虑偏差以及资产回报的相关性。本文展示了基于收缩估计器和最小协方差行列式的稳健马氏距离用于观察加密货币异常分数的方法。我们的分析表明,异常分数是理解加密货币市场波动性度量的关键补充。通过投资组合优化和情景分析进一步展示了异常分数的用途。