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西班牙生育率的下降:宗教的作用。

The Decline of Spanish Fertility: The Role of Religion.

作者信息

Mogi Ryohei, Esteve Albert, Skirbekk Vegard F

机构信息

The Interdisciplinary Centre on Population Dynamics (CPop), University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.

Centre d'Estudis Demogràfics, CERCA, Barcelona, Spain.

出版信息

Eur J Popul. 2022 Oct 28;38(5):1333-1346. doi: 10.1007/s10680-022-09644-1. eCollection 2022 Dec.

Abstract

UNLABELLED

The Spanish total fertility rate declined from 2.8 to below 1.4 children per woman from 1975 to 2020. Spain is categorized as a "lowest-low fertility" country. Although there have been many attempts to explain the Spanish fertility decline, there has been an insufficient focus been given to religion. This brief report aims to analyse how religious affiliation, particularly being Catholics, associates with fertility behaviours-entering parenthood and the total number of children. Using three nationally representative surveys, we show that, compared with the religiously non-affiliated, Catholic women have a higher likelihood of entering parenthood after controlling for demographic, union status and educational characteristics. After controlling for changes in education and union formation, changes in religious affiliation account for approximately 4% of the cohort variation in the age at first birth, but there is no significant contribution for men nor to the total number of children for both sexes.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10680-022-09644-1.

摘要

未标注

西班牙的总和生育率从1975年的每名妇女2.8个孩子下降到2020年的低于1.4个孩子。西班牙被归类为“极低生育率”国家。尽管人们多次尝试解释西班牙生育率下降的原因,但对宗教的关注不足。本简要报告旨在分析宗教归属,特别是天主教徒身份,与生育行为(成为父母和子女总数)之间的关联。通过三项具有全国代表性的调查,我们发现,与无宗教信仰者相比,在控制了人口统计学、婚姻状况和教育特征后,天主教女性成为父母的可能性更高。在控制了教育和婚姻形成的变化后,宗教归属的变化约占首次生育年龄队列变化的4%,但对男性以及两性的子女总数均无显著影响。

补充信息

在线版本包含可在10.1007/s10680-022-09644-1获取的补充材料。

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