Karoliina Rimhanen, Jyrki Aakkula, Kalle Aro, Pasi Rikkonen
Bioeconomy and Environment, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Latokartanonkaari 9, 00790 Helsinki, Finland.
Bioeconomy and Environment, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Lönnrotinkatu 7, 50100 Mikkeli, Finland.
Environ Syst Decis. 2023;43(2):143-160. doi: 10.1007/s10669-022-09889-5. Epub 2023 Jan 2.
Food systems are increasingly exposed to disruptions and shocks, and they are projected to increase in the future. Most recently, the war in Ukraine and Covid-19 pandemic has increased concerns about the ability to secure the availability of food at stable prices. This article presents a food system resilience framework to promote a national foresight system to better prepare for shocks and disruptions. Our study identified four key elements of resilience: system thinking through science and communication; redundancy of activities and networks; diversity of production and partners; and buffering strategies. Three national means to enhance resilience in the Finnish food system included domestic protein crop production, renewable energy production, and job creation measures. Primary production was perceived as the cornerstone for food system resilience, and the shocks and disruptions that it confronts therefore call for a sufficient and diverse domestic production volume, supported by the available domestic renewable energy. A dialogue between different actors in the food system was highlighted to format a situational picture and enable a rapid response. Our study suggests that to a certain point, concentration and interdependence in the food system increase dialogue and cooperation. For critical resources, sufficient reserve stocks buffer disruptions over a short period in the event of unexpected production or market disruptions. Introducing and strengthening the identified resilience elements and means to the food system call for the preparation of a more holistic and coherent food system policy that acknowledges and emphasises resilience alongside efficiency.
The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10669-022-09889-5.
粮食系统越来越容易受到干扰和冲击,预计未来此类情况还会增加。最近,乌克兰战争和新冠疫情加剧了人们对以稳定价格确保粮食供应能力的担忧。本文提出了一个粮食系统复原力框架,以推动建立国家前瞻性系统,更好地应对冲击和干扰。我们的研究确定了复原力的四个关键要素:通过科学和沟通进行系统思考;活动和网络的冗余性;生产和合作伙伴的多样性;以及缓冲策略。增强芬兰粮食系统复原力的三个国家手段包括国内蛋白质作物生产、可再生能源生产和创造就业措施。初级生产被视为粮食系统复原力的基石,因此它所面临的冲击和干扰需要有足够且多样的国内产量,并得到国内可用可再生能源的支持。强调了粮食系统中不同行为体之间的对话,以形成态势图并实现快速响应。我们的研究表明,在一定程度上,粮食系统中的集中化和相互依存会增加对话与合作。对于关键资源,足够的储备库存可在生产或市场意外中断的情况下在短时间内缓冲干扰。在粮食系统中引入并强化已确定的复原力要素和手段,需要制定更全面、连贯的粮食系统政策,该政策在承认并强调效率的同时,也要重视复原力。
在线版本包含可在10.1007/s10669-022-09889-5获取的补充材料。