School of Water Conservancy, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, 450046, China.
Double Carbon Industry Research Institute Co. Ltd., China State Construction Engineering Corporation, Shanghai, 200025, China.
Sci Rep. 2023 Jan 19;13(1):1039. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-27626-z.
Green retrofit PPP projects of traditional apartment complexes play an important role in promoting the green and low-carbon transformation of the construction industry and achieving China's "double carbon" goals. The integrated retrofit of apartment complexes presupposes that the resident groups agree to the retrofit. Therefore, it is necessary to study the evolutionary mechanism of residents' intention to green retrofit and the transformation process of their behavior, and to explore how to enhance residents' intention to participate. First, the dissemination model of residents' intention to green retrofit is constructed. Then, the strategic interaction among government, social capitals and residents under the PPP model is introduced into the dissemination model to define the state transformation probability of resident groups. Finally, the evolution laws of residents' intention to green retrofit are analyzed. The results show that: (1) the behavior of government regulation and social capitals' effort to retrofit can motivate the number of the resident agreeing to green retrofit to meet the proportional limit, (2) the faster the government chooses the strategy of regulation and the social capitals choose the strategy of effort to retrofit, the faster the number of residents agreeing to green retrofit reaches a steady state, (3) when the level of government publicity and education is too low, the cost of government regulation or the subsidy given to residents is too high, the green retrofit of traditional apartment complexes cannot be achieved. The research conclusions can provide a reference for the government to formulate green retrofit policies.
绿色改造 PPP 项目在推动建筑行业的绿色低碳转型和实现中国“双碳”目标方面发挥着重要作用。公寓楼的综合改造前提是居民群体同意改造。因此,有必要研究居民绿色改造意愿的演变机制及其行为的转化过程,并探讨如何增强居民的参与意愿。首先,构建了居民绿色改造意愿的传播模型。然后,将 PPP 模式下政府、社会资本和居民之间的战略互动引入传播模型,定义居民群体的状态转换概率。最后,分析了居民绿色改造意愿的演化规律。结果表明:(1)政府监管行为和社会资本的努力改造行为可以激励同意绿色改造的居民数量达到比例限制;(2)政府越快选择监管策略,社会资本越快选择努力改造策略,同意绿色改造的居民数量达到稳定状态的速度就越快;(3)当政府宣传和教育水平过低,政府监管成本或对居民的补贴过高时,传统公寓楼的绿色改造无法实现。研究结论可为政府制定绿色改造政策提供参考。