Della Corte Valerio, Doria Claudio, Oddo Giacomo
Directorate General for Economics, Statistics, and Research Bank of Italy Roma Italy.
World Econ. 2023 Jan 16. doi: 10.1111/twec.13380.
This paper analyses the response to the COVID-19 pandemic of inbound tourism to Italy looking at variation across countries and provinces. To this end, it uses weekly data on the number of foreign visitors in Italy from January 2019 until February 2021, as provided by a primary mobile telephony operator. We document a very robust negative relation at the province level between the local epidemic situation and the inflow of foreign travellers. Moreover, provinces with a historically higher share in art-tourism, and those that used to be 'hotel intensive' were hit the most during the pandemic, while provinces with a more prevalent orientation to business tourism proved to be more resilient. Entry restrictions with varying degrees of strictness played a key role in explaining cross-country patterns. After controlling for these restrictions, we observed that the number of travellers that could arrive by private means of transportation decreased proportionally less. Overall, this evidence emphasises that contagion risk considerations played a significant role in shaping international tourism patterns during the pandemic.
本文分析了意大利入境旅游对新冠疫情的应对情况，考察了不同国家和省份之间的差异。为此，它使用了一家主要移动电话运营商提供的2019年1月至2021年2月期间意大利外国游客数量的每周数据。我们记录了省级层面当地疫情形势与外国游客流入之间非常显著的负相关关系。此外，在艺术旅游方面历史占比更高的省份，以及那些过去“酒店密集”的省份，在疫情期间受到的冲击最大，而那些更倾向于商务旅游的省份则表现出更强的韧性。不同程度严格的入境限制在解释跨国模式方面起到了关键作用。在控制了这些限制因素后，我们观察到通过私人交通方式能够抵达的游客数量下降比例相对较小。总体而言，这一证据强调了传染风险考量在疫情期间塑造国际旅游模式方面发挥了重要作用。
