Department of Radiology and Biomedical Imaging, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut; Department of Biomedical Engineering, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut; Department of Statistics and Data Science, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut; Child Study Center, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut; Interdepartmental Neuroscience Program, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Department of Psychiatry, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, New York.
Biol Psychiatry. 2023 May 15;93(10):893-904. doi: 10.1016/j.biopsych.2022.10.014. Epub 2022 Oct 29.
Predictive models in neuroimaging are increasingly designed with the intent to improve risk stratification and support interventional efforts in psychiatry. Many of these models have been developed in samples of children school-aged or older. Nevertheless, despite growing evidence that altered brain maturation during the fetal, infant, and toddler (FIT) period modulates risk for poor mental health outcomes in childhood, these models are rarely implemented in FIT samples. Applications of predictive modeling in children of these ages provide an opportunity to develop powerful tools for improved characterization of the neural mechanisms underlying development. To facilitate the broader use of predictive models in FIT neuroimaging, we present a brief primer and systematic review on the methods used in current predictive modeling FIT studies. Reflecting on current practices in more than 100 studies conducted over the past decade, we provide an overview of topics, modalities, and methods commonly used in the field and under-researched areas. We then outline ethical and future considerations for neuroimaging researchers interested in predicting health outcomes in early life, including researchers who may be relatively new to either advanced machine learning methods or using FIT data. Altogether, the last decade of FIT research in machine learning has provided a foundation for accelerating the prediction of early-life trajectories across the full spectrum of illness and health.
神经影像学中的预测模型越来越多地被设计用于改善风险分层,并为精神病学的干预措施提供支持。这些模型中的许多都是在儿童学龄期或更大的样本中开发的。然而,尽管越来越多的证据表明,胎儿、婴儿和幼儿(FIT)期大脑成熟的改变会增加儿童时期心理健康不良结果的风险,但这些模型很少在 FIT 样本中实施。在这些年龄段的儿童中应用预测建模为开发强大的工具提供了机会,以更好地描述发育背后的神经机制。为了促进预测模型在 FIT 神经影像学中的更广泛应用,我们提供了一个简短的入门指南和对当前 FIT 研究中使用的预测建模方法的系统综述。在反思过去十年中进行的 100 多项研究中的当前实践后,我们提供了该领域常用主题、模态和方法的概述,以及研究不足的领域。然后,我们概述了对预测早期生命健康结果感兴趣的神经影像学研究人员的伦理和未来考虑因素,包括可能相对较新的高级机器学习方法或使用 FIT 数据的研究人员。总之,过去十年的 FIT 机器学习研究为加速预测整个疾病和健康谱中的早期生命轨迹提供了基础。