Centre for Health Economics & Policy Innovation, Department of Economics & Public Policy, Imperial College Business School, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UK.
Climate Change & Health Research Unit, Mathematica, Washington, DC 20002, USA.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Feb 21;20(5):3852. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20053852.
Weighted averages of air pollution measurements from monitoring stations are commonly assigned as air pollution exposures to specific locations. However, monitoring networks are spatially sparse and fail to adequately capture the spatial variability. This may introduce bias and exposure misclassification. Advanced methods of exposure assessment are rarely practicable in estimating daily concentrations over large geographical areas. We propose an accessible method using temporally adjusted land use regression models (daily LUR). We applied this to produce daily concentration estimates for nitrogen dioxide, ozone, and particulate matter in a healthcare setting across England and compared them against geographically extrapolated measurements (inverse distance weighting) from air pollution monitors. The daily LUR estimates outperformed IDW. The precision gains varied across air pollutants, suggesting that, for nitrogen dioxide and particulate matter, the health effects may be underestimated. The results emphasised the importance of spatial heterogeneity in investigating the societal impacts of air pollution, illustrating improvements achievable at a lower computational cost.
加权平均空气污染监测站的测量数据通常被分配给特定地点的空气污染暴露。然而,监测网络在空间上是稀疏的,无法充分捕捉空间变异性。这可能会引入偏差和暴露分类错误。在估计大地理区域的每日浓度时,先进的暴露评估方法很少可行。我们提出了一种使用时间调整的土地利用回归模型(每日 LUR)的方法。我们将其应用于在英格兰的医疗保健环境中生成二氧化氮、臭氧和颗粒物的每日浓度估计值,并将其与空气污染监测器的地理外推测量值(反向距离加权)进行比较。每日 LUR 估计值优于 IDW。精度增益因空气污染物而异,这表明,对于二氧化氮和颗粒物,健康影响可能被低估。结果强调了在研究空气污染对社会影响时考虑空间异质性的重要性,说明了以较低的计算成本实现的改进。