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碳排效率的时空分异与影响因素:基于 136 个国家的视角。

Spatiotemporal differentiation of carbon emission efficiency and influencing factors: From the perspective of 136 countries.

机构信息

School of Management, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China.

School of Management, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Jun 25;879:163032. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163032. Epub 2023 Mar 23.

Abstract

The severity of the global climate issue is rising, primarily as a result of excessive carbon dioxide emissions. Climate change is a global problem. How to reduce carbon dioxide emissions while promoting social and economic development is a problem that all countries need to face. This study examines global carbon emission efficiency in order to make recommendations for comprehensively improving global low-carbon development level. We extend the research scale of carbon emission efficiency from countries, regions, economic belts and sectors to the world, which can show the differences of countries and has theoretical guiding significance for global low-carbon development. This study calculates the carbon emission efficiency for 136 countries from 2000 to 2019 using the Super-EBM model. The discussion that follows examines the temporal and spatial characteristics of carbon emissions efficiency in 136 countries from the perspective of countries, developed and developing countries, and regions. Finally, the Tobit model is used to comprehensively analyze the factors that affect carbon emission efficiency. The results show that: (1) There are great differences in carbon emission efficiency among countries and regions. Only a few countries reach the production frontier, mainly in Europe, which are Switzerland, Luxembourg, Iraq, Norway, Denmark and the United Kingdom. The carbon emission efficiency of most countries is not ideal, being mainly concentrated in Asia and Africa, and has not achieved significant improvement over time. Asia has the lowest carbon emission efficiency. Mongolia, Ukraine, Iran, Angola, Belarus and Uzbekistan are the key governance areas for global energy conservation and carbon emissions reduction. (2) Developed countries have the much higher average carbon emission efficiency than developing countries. Combined with the industrial development stages of developed and developing countries, this is in line with the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis. The average carbon emission efficiency gap between developing and developed countries shows a trend of "first narrowing and then widening", which demonstrates that developing countries' reliance on energy input to boost their economies will improve carbon emission efficiency, but only temporarily. (3) Urbanization level, foreign trade and proportion of renewable energy effectively improve the carbon emission efficiency, while industrial structure and proportion of electricity users have an inhibitory effect on the carbon emission efficiency. Global low-carbon development should be hastened by strengthening international cooperation, optimizing industrial structure, promoting urbanization and foreign trade, and adjusting the energy structure.

摘要

全球气候问题的严重性正在上升,主要是由于二氧化碳排放过多。气候变化是一个全球性问题。如何在促进社会经济发展的同时减少二氧化碳排放,是所有国家都需要面对的问题。本研究旨在考察全球碳排放量效率,以便为全面提高全球低碳发展水平提出建议。我们将碳排放效率的研究范围从国家、地区、经济带和部门扩展到全球,这可以显示各国之间的差异,对全球低碳发展具有理论指导意义。本研究利用 Super-EBM 模型计算了 2000 年至 2019 年期间 136 个国家的碳排放量效率。接下来的讨论从国家、发达国家和发展中国家以及地区的角度,考察了 136 个国家碳排放量效率的时空特征。最后,利用 Tobit 模型综合分析了影响碳排放量效率的因素。结果表明:(1)各国和地区的碳排放量效率存在较大差异。只有少数几个国家达到了生产前沿,主要在欧洲,包括瑞士、卢森堡、伊拉克、挪威、丹麦和英国。大多数国家的碳排放量效率不理想,主要集中在亚洲和非洲,且随着时间的推移没有显著提高。亚洲的碳排放量效率最低。蒙古、乌克兰、伊朗、安哥拉、白俄罗斯和乌兹别克斯坦是全球节能减排的重点治理区域。(2)发达国家的平均碳排放量效率明显高于发展中国家。结合发达国家和发展中国家的产业发展阶段,这符合环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说。发展中国家与发达国家之间的平均碳排放量效率差距呈“先缩小后扩大”的趋势,这表明发展中国家依赖能源投入来推动经济增长会提高碳排放量效率,但只是暂时的。(3)城市化水平、对外贸易和可再生能源比例有效提高了碳排放量效率,而产业结构和电力用户比例对碳排放量效率有抑制作用。加快全球低碳发展,需要加强国际合作,优化产业结构,促进城市化和对外贸易,调整能源结构。

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