Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Health, Akershus University Hospital, Lørenskog, Norway.
Institute of Clinical Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Mar 1;6(3):e235763. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.5763.
The prevalence and baseline risk factors of post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) remain unresolved among the large number of young people who experienced mild COVID-19.
To determine the point prevalence of PCC 6 months after the acute infection, to determine the risk of development of PCC adjusted for possible confounders, and to explore a broad range of potential risk factors.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study included nonhospitalized individuals from 2 counties in Norway between ages 12 and 25 years who underwent reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) testing. At the early convalescent stage and at 6-month follow-up, participants underwent a clinical examination; pulmonary, cardiac, and cognitive functional testing; immunological and organ injury biomarker analyses; and completion of a questionnaire. Participants were classified according to the World Health Organization case definition of PCC at follow-up. Association analyses of 78 potential risk factors were performed.
SARS-CoV-2 infection.
The point prevalence of PCC 6 months after RT-PCR testing in the SARS-CoV-2-positive and SARS-CoV-2-negative groups, and the risk difference with corresponding 95% CIs.
A total of 404 individuals testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 and 105 individuals testing negative were enrolled (194 male [38.1%]; 102 non-European [20.0%] ethnicity). A total of 22 of the SARS-CoV-2-positive and 4 of the SARS-CoV-2-negative individuals were lost to follow-up, and 16 SARS-CoV-2-negative individuals were excluded due to SARS-CoV-2 infection in the observational period. Hence, 382 SARS-CoV-2-positive participants (mean [SD] age, 18.0 [3.7] years; 152 male [39.8%]) and 85 SARS-CoV-2-negative participants (mean [SD] age, 17.7 [3.2] years; 31 male [36.5%]) could be evaluated. The point prevalence of PCC at 6 months was 48.5% in the SARS-CoV-2-positive group and 47.1% in the control group (risk difference, 1.5%; 95% CI, -10.2% to 13.1%). SARS-CoV-2 positivity was not associated with the development of PCC (relative risk [RR], 1.06; 95% CI, 0.83 to 1.37; final multivariable model utilizing modified Poisson regression). The main risk factor for PCC was symptom severity at baseline (RR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.27-1.56). Low physical activity (RR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.92-1.00) and loneliness (RR, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.02) were also associated, while biological markers were not. Symptom severity correlated with personality traits.
The persistent symptoms and disability that characterize PCC are associated with factors other than SARS-CoV-2 infection, including psychosocial factors. This finding raises questions about the utility of the World Health Organization case definition and has implications for the planning of health care services as well as for further research on PCC.
在经历过轻度 COVID-19 的大量年轻人中,新冠后遗症(PCC)的流行率和基线风险因素仍未得到解决。
确定急性感染后 6 个月时 PCC 的时点患病率,确定可能的混杂因素调整后的 PCC 发病风险,并探讨广泛的潜在风险因素。
设计、地点和参与者:本队列研究纳入了挪威 2 个县年龄在 12 至 25 岁之间的非住院个体,他们接受了逆转录-聚合酶链反应(RT-PCR)检测。在早期康复阶段和 6 个月随访时,参与者接受了临床检查、肺、心脏和认知功能测试、免疫和器官损伤生物标志物分析以及完成问卷调查。根据世界卫生组织的 PCC 病例定义对随访时的参与者进行分类。对 78 个潜在风险因素进行了关联分析。
SARS-CoV-2 感染。
SARS-CoV-2 阳性和 SARS-CoV-2 阴性组在 RT-PCR 检测后 6 个月时 PCC 的时点患病率,以及相应的 95%CI 的风险差异。
共纳入了 404 名 SARS-CoV-2 阳性和 105 名 SARS-CoV-2 阴性个体(194 名男性[38.1%];102 名非欧洲血统[20.0%])。共有 22 名 SARS-CoV-2 阳性和 4 名 SARS-CoV-2 阴性个体失访,由于在观察期内 SARS-CoV-2 感染,有 16 名 SARS-CoV-2 阴性个体被排除。因此,382 名 SARS-CoV-2 阳性参与者(平均[SD]年龄,18.0[3.7]岁;152 名男性[39.8%])和 85 名 SARS-CoV-2 阴性参与者(平均[SD]年龄,17.7[3.2]岁;31 名男性[36.5%])可进行评估。SARS-CoV-2 阳性组的 PCC 时点患病率为 48.5%,对照组为 47.1%(风险差异,1.5%;95%CI,-10.2%至 13.1%)。SARS-CoV-2 阳性与 PCC 的发生无关(相对风险[RR],1.06;95%CI,0.83 至 1.37;最终多变量模型采用修正泊松回归)。PCC 的主要危险因素是基线时的症状严重程度(RR,1.41;95%CI,1.27 至 1.56)。低身体活动(RR,0.96;95%CI,0.92 至 1.00)和孤独(RR,1.01;95%CI,1.00 至 1.02)也与 PCC 相关,而生物标志物则没有。症状严重程度与人格特质相关。
PCC 持续存在的症状和残疾与 SARS-CoV-2 感染以外的因素有关,包括社会心理因素。这一发现引发了对世界卫生组织病例定义的实用性的质疑,并对医疗保健服务的规划以及对 PCC 的进一步研究产生了影响。