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长期颗粒物暴露与卵巢癌患者全因死亡率的关系:一项前瞻性队列研究。

Association of long-term particulate matter exposure with all-cause mortality among patients with ovarian cancer: A prospective cohort.

机构信息

Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China; Clinical Research Center, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China; Key Laboratory of Precision Medical Research on Major Chronic Disease, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China.

School of Public Health, Key Lab of Public Health Safety of the Ministry of Education and NHC Key Lab of Health Technology Assessment, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2023 Aug 1;884:163748. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163748. Epub 2023 Apr 27.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Evidence of the association between particles with a diameter of 2.5 μm or less (PM) in long term and ovarian cancer (OC) mortality is limited.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study analyzed data collected between 2015 and 2020 from 610 newly diagnosed OC patients, aged 18-79 years. The residential average PM concentrations 10 years before the date of OC diagnosis were assessed by random forest models at a 1 km × 1 km resolution. Cox proportional hazard models fully adjusted for the covariates (including age at diagnosis, education, physical activity, kitchen ventilation, FIGO stage, and comorbidities) and distributed lag non-linear models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) of PM and all-cause mortality of OC.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 37.6 months (interquartile: 24.8-50.5 months), 118 (19.34 %) deaths were confirmed among 610 OC patients. One-year PM exposure levels before OC diagnosis was significantly associated with an increase in all-cause mortality among OC patients (single-pollutant model: HR = 1.22, 95 % CI: 1.02-1.46; multi-pollutant models: HR = 1.38, 95 % CI: 1.10-1.72). Furthermore, during 1 to 10 years prior to diagnosis, the lag-specific effect of long-term PM exposure on the all-cause mortality of OC had a risk increase for lag 1-6 years, and the exposure-response relationship was linear. Of note, significant interactions between several immunological indicators as well as solid fuel use for cooking and ambient PM concentrations were observed.

CONCLUSION

Higher ambient PM concentrations were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality among OC patients, and there was a lag effect in long-term PM exposure.

摘要

背景

长期直径为 2.5μm 或以下的颗粒(PM)与卵巢癌(OC)死亡率之间关联的证据有限。

方法

本前瞻性队列研究分析了 2015 年至 2020 年间 610 名新诊断 OC 患者(年龄 18-79 岁)的数据。使用随机森林模型以 1km×1km 的分辨率评估 OC 诊断日期前 10 年的住宅平均 PM 浓度。使用完全调整协变量(包括诊断时的年龄、教育程度、体力活动、厨房通风、FIGO 分期和合并症)的 Cox 比例风险模型和分布滞后非线性模型来估计 PM 和 OC 全因死亡率的危害比(HRs)和 95%置信区间(CIs)。

结果

在中位数为 37.6 个月(四分位距:24.8-50.5 个月)的随访期间,610 名 OC 患者中有 118 人(19.34%)死亡。OC 诊断前一年的 PM 暴露水平与 OC 患者全因死亡率的增加显著相关(单污染物模型:HR=1.22,95%CI:1.02-1.46;多污染物模型:HR=1.38,95%CI:1.10-1.72)。此外,在诊断前 1 至 10 年期间,长期 PM 暴露对 OC 全因死亡率的滞后特异性效应在 1-6 年的滞后时间内具有风险增加,且暴露-反应关系呈线性。值得注意的是,观察到几个免疫指标以及烹饪用固体燃料和环境 PM 浓度之间存在显著的交互作用。

结论

较高的环境 PM 浓度与 OC 患者全因死亡率的增加风险相关,并且长期 PM 暴露存在滞后效应。

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