Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, School of Medicine, Shinshu University, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano 390-8621, Japan.
Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, School of Medicine, Shinshu University, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano 390-8621, Japan; Department of Occupational Medicine, School of Medicine, Shinshu University, 3-1-1 Asahi, Matsumoto, Nagano 390-8621, Japan.
Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2023 Jun 15;258:114961. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2023.114961. Epub 2023 May 1.
There have been few studies in non-western countries on the relationship between low levels of daily fine particulate matter (PM) exposure and morbidity or mortality, and the impact of PM concentrations below 15 μg/m, which is the latest World Health Organization Air Quality Guideline (WHO AQG) value for the 24-h mean, is not yet clear. We assessed the associations between low-level PM exposure and cardiorespiratory admissions in Japan. We collected the daily hospital admission count data, air pollutant data, and meteorological condition data recorded from April 2016 to March 2019 in 139 Japanese cities. City-specific estimates were obtained from conditional logistic regression models in a time-stratified case-crossover design and pooled by random-effect models. We estimated that every 10-μg/m increase in the concurrent-day PM concentration was related to a 0.52% increase in cardiovascular admissions (95% CI: 0.13-0.92%) and a 1.74% increase in respiratory admissions (95% CI: 1.41-2.07%). These values were nearly the same when the datasets were filtered to contain only daily PM concentrations <15 μg/m. The exposure-response curves showed approximately sublinear-to-linear curves with no indication of thresholds. These associations with cardiovascular diseases weakened after adjusting for nitrogen dioxide or sulfur dioxide, but associations with respiratory diseases were almost unchanged when additionally adjusted for other pollutants. This study demonstrated that associations between daily PM and daily cardiorespiratory hospitalizations might persist at low concentrations, including those below the latest WHO AQG value. Our findings suggest that the updated guideline value may still be insufficient from the perspective of public health.
在非西方国家,关于低水平每日细颗粒物(PM)暴露与发病率或死亡率之间的关系,以及低于 15μg/m 的 PM 浓度的影响的研究很少,而世界卫生组织空气质量指南(WHO AQG)最新的 24 小时平均浓度值为 15μg/m,其影响尚不清楚。我们评估了低水平 PM 暴露与日本心肺疾病入院率之间的关联。我们收集了 2016 年 4 月至 2019 年 3 月期间 139 个日本城市的每日医院入院人数数据、空气污染物数据和气象条件数据。采用时间分层病例交叉设计的条件逻辑回归模型获得了特定城市的估计值,并通过随机效应模型进行了汇总。我们估计,同期 PM 浓度每增加 10μg/m,心血管疾病入院率增加 0.52%(95%CI:0.13-0.92%),呼吸系统疾病入院率增加 1.74%(95%CI:1.41-2.07%)。当数据集仅包含每日 PM 浓度 <15μg/m 时,这些值几乎相同。暴露-反应曲线显示出近似的亚线性到线性曲线,没有表明存在阈值。这些与心血管疾病的关联在调整二氧化氮或二氧化硫后减弱,但在额外调整其他污染物后,与呼吸系统疾病的关联几乎没有变化。这项研究表明,每日 PM 与每日心肺疾病住院之间的关联可能在低浓度下持续存在,包括低于最新的世卫组织 AQG 值的浓度。我们的研究结果表明,从公共卫生的角度来看,更新后的指南值可能仍然不够。