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基于 ISSA-LSSVR 煤价预测方法的倾斜煤层露天矿境界优化。

Boundary optimization of inclined coal seam open-pit mine based on the ISSA-LSSVR coal price prediction method.

机构信息

College of Mining, Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin, 123000, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2023 May 9;13(1):7527. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-34641-7.

Abstract

As an important link in the complex system engineering project of open pit mining, the quality of the boundary determines the performance of the project to a large extent. However, changes in economic indicators may raise doubts about the optimality of mining boundaries. In this article, a coal price time series forecasting model that considers some amount of redundancy is proposed, which combines an improved sparrow search algorithm (ISSA) and a least squares support vector regression machine regression (LSSVR) algorithm. The optimal values of the penalty factor and kernel function parameter of the LSSVR model are selected by ISSA, which improves the prediction accuracy and generalization performance of the forecasting model. A multistep decision optimization method under fluctuating coal price conditions is proposed, and the model prediction results are applied to the boundary optimization design process. Using the widely applied block model as the basis, a set of optimal production nested pits is obtained, allowing the realm design results to fit the coal price fluctuation trend and further enhance enterprise efficiency. The applicability and effectiveness of this method were verified by taking an ideal two-dimensional model and an inclined coal seam open-pit coal mine in Xinjiang as an example.

摘要

作为露天采矿复杂系统工程项目中的一个重要环节,境界的质量在很大程度上决定了项目的性能。然而,经济指标的变化可能会让人对采矿境界的最优性产生怀疑。本文提出了一种考虑一定冗余量的煤炭价格时间序列预测模型,该模型结合了改进的麻雀搜索算法(ISSA)和最小二乘支持向量机回归(LSSVR)算法。ISSA 选择了 LSSVR 模型的惩罚因子和核函数参数的最优值,从而提高了预测模型的预测精度和泛化性能。提出了一种在煤炭价格波动条件下的多步决策优化方法,并将模型预测结果应用于境界优化设计过程。利用广泛应用的块体模型作为基础,得到了一组最优的生产嵌套坑,使得境界设计结果能够适应煤炭价格波动趋势,进一步提高企业效率。通过以理想二维模型和新疆倾斜煤层露天煤矿为例,验证了该方法的适用性和有效性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/456b/10170135/fd551f9e81a4/41598_2023_34641_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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