Hansen Lara, Witzig Victoria, Schulz Jörg B, Holtbernd Florian
Department of Neurology, RWTH Aachen University, Pauwelsstr. 30, 52074, Aachen, Germany.
JARA-BRAIN Institute Molecular Neuroscience and Neuroimaging, Juelich Research Center GmbH and RWTH Aachen University, Aachen, Germany.
Neurol Sci. 2023 Nov;44(11):3905-3912. doi: 10.1007/s10072-023-06888-5. Epub 2023 Jun 13.
Levodopa (LD) is the most effective drug to treat Parkinson's disease (PD). The recently concluded multinational Parkinson's Real-World Impact Assessment (PRISM) trial revealed highly variable prescription patterns of LD monotherapy across six European countries. The reasons remain unclear.
In this post hoc analysis of PRISM trial data, we used multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify socio-economic factors affecting prescription practice. We applied receiver-operated characteristics and split sample validation to test model accuracy to predict treatment class (LD monotherapy vs. all other treatments).
Subject age, disease duration, and country of residence were significant predictors of treatment class. The chance of receiving LD monotherapy increased by 6.9% per year of age. In contrast, longer disease duration reduced the likelihood of receiving LD monotherapy by 9.7% per year. Compared to the other countries, PD patients in Germany were 67.1% less likely and their counterparts in the UK 86.8% more likely to receive an LD monotherapy. The model classification accuracy of treatment class assignment was 80.1%. The area under the curve to predict treatment condition was 0.758 (95% CI [0.715, 0.802]). Split sample validation revealed poor sensitivity (36.6%), but excellent specificity (92.7%) to predict treatment class.
The relative lack of socio-economic variables affecting prescription practice in the study sample and limited model accuracy to predict treatment class suggest the presence of additional, country-specific factors affecting prescription patterns that were not assessed in the PRISM trial. Our findings indicate that physicians still avoid prescribing LD monotherapy to younger PD patients.
左旋多巴(LD)是治疗帕金森病(PD)最有效的药物。最近结束的跨国帕金森病真实世界影响评估(PRISM)试验显示,六个欧洲国家的LD单药治疗处方模式差异很大。原因尚不清楚。
在对PRISM试验数据的这项事后分析中,我们使用多变量逻辑回归分析来确定影响处方实践的社会经济因素。我们应用受试者工作特征和拆分样本验证来测试预测治疗类别(LD单药治疗与所有其他治疗)的模型准确性。
受试者年龄、疾病持续时间和居住国家是治疗类别的重要预测因素。接受LD单药治疗的几率每年增加6.9%。相比之下,疾病持续时间越长,接受LD单药治疗的可能性每年降低9.7%。与其他国家相比,德国的PD患者接受LD单药治疗的可能性低67.1%,而英国的PD患者接受LD单药治疗的可能性高86.8%。治疗类别分配的模型分类准确性为80.1%。预测治疗情况的曲线下面积为0.758(95%CI[0.715,
0.802])。拆分样本验证显示预测治疗类别的敏感性较差(36.6%),但特异性极佳(92.7%)。
研究样本中影响处方实践的社会经济变量相对缺乏,且预测治疗类别的模型准确性有限,这表明存在未在PRISM试验中评估的其他特定国家因素影响处方模式。我们的研究结果表明,医生仍然避免给年轻的PD患者开LD单药治疗。