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臭氧对心血管死亡率的短期不良影响受季节和温度影响:一项时间序列研究。

Adverse short-term effects of ozone on cardiovascular mortalities modified by season and temperature: a time-series study.

机构信息

Department of Health, Ethics and Society, Care and Public Health Research Institute (CAPHRI), Faculty of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences, Maastricht University, Maastricht, Netherlands.

Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2023 Jun 9;11:1182337. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1182337. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Ambient ozone pollution becomes critical in China. Conclusions on the short-term effects of ozone on cardiovascular mortality have been controversial and limited on cause-specific cardiovascular mortalities and their interactions with season and temperature. This research aimed to investigate the short-term effects of ozone and the modifications of season and temperature on cardiovascular mortality.

METHODS

Cardiovascular death records, air pollutants, and meteorological factors in Shenzhen from 2013 to 2019 were analyzed. Daily 1-h maximum of ozone and daily maximum 8-h moving average of ozone were studied. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were applied to evaluate their associations with cardiovascular mortalities in sex and age groups. Effect modifications were assessed by stratifying season and temperature.

RESULTS

Distributed lag impacts of ozone on total cardiovascular deaths and cumulative effects on mortality due to ischemic heart disease (IHD) were most significant. Population under 65 years old was most susceptible. Majority of significant effects were found in warm season, at high temperature, and at extreme heat. Ozone-associated risks in total deaths caused by hypertensive diseases reduced in warm season, while risks in IHD in males increased at high temperature. Extreme heat enhanced ozone effects on deaths caused by CVDs and IHD in the population under 65 years old.

DISCUSSION

The revealed cardiovascular impacts of ozone below current national standard of air quality suggested improved standards and interventions in China. Higher temperature, particularly extreme heat, rather than warm season, could significantly enhance the adverse effects of ozone on cardiovascular mortality in population under 65 years old.

摘要

引言

中国的环境臭氧污染问题日益严重。关于臭氧对心血管疾病死亡率的短期影响的结论一直存在争议,并且仅限于特定原因的心血管死亡率及其与季节和温度的相互作用。本研究旨在探讨臭氧的短期影响以及季节和温度变化对心血管死亡率的修饰作用。

方法

分析了 2013 年至 2019 年深圳的心血管死亡记录、空气污染物和气象因素。研究了每日 1 小时最大臭氧浓度和每日最大 8 小时移动平均臭氧浓度。应用广义加性模型(GAMs)评估它们与心血管死亡率在性别和年龄组中的关系。通过分层季节和温度来评估效应修饰。

结果

臭氧对总心血管死亡的分布滞后影响以及对缺血性心脏病(IHD)死亡率的累积影响最为显著。65 岁以下人群最易受到影响。大多数显著影响发生在暖季、高温和极端高温下。在暖季,臭氧相关的高血压疾病引起的总死亡风险降低,而男性在高温时 IHD 的风险增加。极端高温增加了 65 岁以下人群因心血管疾病和 IHD 导致的臭氧对死亡的影响。

讨论

本研究揭示了当前中国空气质量标准下臭氧对心血管的影响,表明需要提高标准并采取干预措施。较高的温度,特别是极端高温,而不是暖季,可能会显著增强臭氧对 65 岁以下人群心血管死亡率的不利影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/73e0/10288843/9649a1689f6c/fpubh-11-1182337-g001.jpg

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