Hsieh K S, Keane J F, Nadas A S, Bernhard W F, Castaneda A R
Am J Cardiol. 1986 Aug 1;58(3):338-41. doi: 10.1016/0002-9149(86)90073-1.
The clinical course of 59 patients who underwent valvotomy for aortic stenosis before 1968 was reviewed. All were older than 1 year at the time of operation. Mean follow-up period was 17.7 years. Forty-six patients are alive; 26 (57%) are 30 to 40 years and 6 (13%) are older. Actuarial analysis indicated that the probability of survival was 94% at 5 years and 77% at 22 years. Thirteen patients died, 7 suddenly. Among the latter, significant obstruction or regurgitation was present in the 4 who underwent catheterization 0.9 to 7.2 years before death, 2 of whom were symptomatic and 2 with progression of a strain pattern on electrocardiogram. Surgery was recommended but declined by the latter 2 patients. Reoperation was carried out in 21 patients (36%), 3 (12%) of whom died. Actuarial analysis revealed the probability of reoperation to increase from 2% at 5 years to 44% at 22 years. Bacterial endocarditis occurred on 4 occasions in 3 patients, 1 of whom died suddenly during treatment. The incidence of endocarditis was 3.8 episodes/1,000 patient-years. Actuarial analysis of serious events, defined as death, reoperation and endocarditis, with the most serious of these and each patient being represented only once, indicated the probability of being free of such an episode to be 92% at 5 years, decreasing to 39% at 22 years. These data emphasize the palliative nature of valvotomy and the meticulous follow-up so necessary in these patients.