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细颗粒物成分对心肌梗死死亡的短期影响。

Short-term effects of fine particulate matter constituents on myocardial infarction death.

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China.

Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China.

出版信息

J Environ Sci (China). 2023 Nov;133:60-69. doi: 10.1016/j.jes.2022.07.019. Epub 2022 Jul 22.

Abstract

Existing evidence suggested that short-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM) may increase the risk of death from myocardial infarction (MI), while PM constituents responsible for this association has not been determined. We collected 12,927 MI deaths from 32 counties in southern China during 2011-2013. County-level exposures of ambient PM and its 5 constituents (i.e., elemental carbon (EC), organic carbon (OC), sulfate (SO), ammonium (NH), and nitrate (NO)) were aggregated from gridded datasets predicted by Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling System. We employed a space-time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression models to quantify the association of MI mortality with short-term exposure to PM and its constituents across various lag days. Over the study period, the daily mean PM mass concentration was 77.8 (standard deviation (SD) = 72.7) µg/m. We estimated an odds ratio of 1.038 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.003-1.074), 1.038 (1.013-1.063) and 1.057 (1.023-1.097) for MI mortality associated with per interquartile range (IQR) increase in the 3-day moving-average exposure to PM (IQR = 76.3 µg/m), EC (4.1 µg/m) and OC (9.1 µg/m), respectively. We did not identify significant association between MI death and exposure to water-soluble ions (SO, NH and NO). Likelihood ratio tests supported no evident violations of linear assumptions for constituents-MI associations. Subgroup analyses showed stronger associations between MI death and EC/OC exposure in the elderly, males and cold months. Short-term exposure to PM constituents, particularly those carbonaceous aerosols, was associated with increased risks of MI mortality.

摘要

已有证据表明,短期暴露于细颗粒物(PM)可能会增加心肌梗死(MI)死亡的风险,而导致这种关联的 PM 成分尚未确定。我们收集了 2011 年至 2013 年期间中国南方 32 个县的 12927 例 MI 死亡病例。通过社区多尺度空气质量建模系统预测的网格化数据集,汇总了县一级的环境 PM 及其 5 种成分(即元素碳(EC)、有机碳(OC)、硫酸盐(SO)、铵(NH)和硝酸盐(NO))的浓度。我们采用时空分层病例交叉设计和条件逻辑回归模型,量化了 PM 及其成分短期暴露与 MI 死亡率之间的关联,分析了不同滞后天数的暴露情况。在研究期间,每日平均 PM 质量浓度为 77.8(标准差(SD)=72.7)µg/m。我们估计,与 PM 浓度每增加一个四分位距(IQR)(IQR=76.3 µg/m)相关的 MI 死亡率比值比(OR)为 1.038(95%置信区间(CI):1.003-1.074),与 EC(4.1 µg/m)和 OC(9.1 µg/m)浓度每增加一个 IQR 相关的 OR 分别为 1.038(1.013-1.063)和 1.057(1.023-1.097)。我们没有发现 MI 死亡与水溶性离子(SO、NH 和 NO)暴露之间存在显著关联。似然比检验支持 PM 成分与 MI 关联的线性假设没有明显违反。亚组分析表明,在老年人、男性和寒冷月份,MI 死亡与 EC/OC 暴露之间的关联更强。短期暴露于 PM 成分,特别是那些碳质气溶胶,与 MI 死亡率增加的风险相关。

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