Emerg Infect Dis. 2023 Sep;29(9):1808-1817. doi: 10.3201/eid2909.230307.
Historically low levels of seasonal influenza circulation were reported during the first years of the COVID-19 pandemic and were mainly attributed to implementation of nonpharmaceutical interventions. In tropical regions, influenza's seasonality differs largely, and data on this topic are scarce. We analyzed data from Senegal's sentinel syndromic surveillance network before and after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic to assess changes in influenza circulation. We found that influenza shows year-round circulation in Senegal and has 2 distinct epidemic peaks: during January-March and during the rainy season in August-October. During 2021-2022, the expected January-March influenza peak completely disappeared, corresponding to periods of active SARS-CoV-2 circulation. We noted an unexpected influenza epidemic peak during May-July 2022. The observed reciprocal circulation of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza suggests that factors such as viral interference might be at play and should be further investigated in tropical settings.
在 COVID-19 大流行的头几年,报告的季节性流感传播水平一直处于历史低位,这主要归因于非药物干预措施的实施。在热带地区,流感的季节性差异很大,关于这个主题的数据也很缺乏。我们分析了塞内加尔哨点症状监测网络在 COVID-19 大流行前后的数据,以评估流感传播的变化。我们发现,流感在塞内加尔呈全年流行,有 2 个明显的流行高峰:1 月至 3 月和 8 月至 10 月的雨季。在 2021-2022 年,预期的 1 月至 3 月流感高峰完全消失,与 SARS-CoV-2 活跃传播的时期相对应。我们注意到 2022 年 5 月至 7 月出现了一次意外的流感流行高峰。观察到 SARS-CoV-2 和流感的相互循环表明,病毒干扰等因素可能在起作用,在热带地区应进一步进行研究。