Scown Murray W, Craig Robin K, Allen Craig R, Gunderson Lance, Angeler David G, Garcia Jorge H, Garmestani Ahjond
Lund University Centre for Sustainability Studies (LUCSUS), Lund University, Lund, Sweden.
University of Southern California Gould School of Law, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Glob Sustain. 2023 Apr 24;6(e8):1-14. doi: 10.1017/sus.2023.8.
NON-TECHNICAL SUMMARY: The United Nations' sustainable development goals (SDGs) articulate societal aspirations for people and our planet. Many scientists have criticised the SDGs and some have suggested that a better understanding of the complex interactions between society and the environment should underpin the next global development agenda. We further this discussion through the theory of social-ecological resilience, which emphasises the ability of systems to absorb, adapt, and transform in the face of change. We determine the strengths of the current SDGs, which should form a basis for the next agenda, and identify key gaps that should be filled.
The United Nations' sustainable development goals (SDGs) are past their halfway point and the next global development agenda will soon need to be developed. While laudable, the SDGs have received strong criticism from many, and scholars have proposed that adopting complex adaptive or social-ecological system approaches would increase the effectiveness of the agenda. Here we dive deeper into these discussions to explore how the theory of social-ecological resilience could serve as a strong foundation for the next global sustainable development agenda. We identify the strengths and weaknesses of the current SDGs by determining which of the 169 targets address each of 43 factors affecting social-ecological resilience that we have compiled from the literature. The SDGs with the strongest connections to social-ecological resilience are the environment-focus goals (SDGs 2, 6, 13, 14, 15), which are also the goals consistently under-prioritised in the implementation of the current agenda. In terms of the 43 factors affecting social-ecological resilience, the SDG strengths lie in their communication, inclusive decision making, financial support, regulatory incentives, economic diversity, and transparency in governance and law. On the contrary, ecological factors of resilience are seriously lacking in the SDGs, particularly with regards to scale, cross-scale interactions, and non-stationarity.
The post-2030 agenda should build on strengths of SDGs 2, 6, 13, 14, 15, and fill gaps in scale, variability, and feedbacks.
联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)阐明了对人类和地球的社会期望。许多科学家批评了可持续发展目标,一些人建议,更好地理解社会与环境之间的复杂相互作用应成为下一个全球发展议程的基础。我们通过社会生态韧性理论推进这一讨论,该理论强调系统在面对变化时吸收、适应和转变的能力。我们确定了当前可持续发展目标的优势,这些优势应成为下一个议程的基础,并找出应填补的关键差距。
联合国可持续发展目标已走过一半路程,下一个全球发展议程很快就需要制定。尽管可持续发展目标值得称赞,但受到了许多人的强烈批评,学者们提议采用复杂适应或社会生态系统方法将提高议程的有效性。在此,我们更深入地探讨这些讨论,以探索社会生态韧性理论如何能成为下一个全球可持续发展议程的坚实基础。我们通过确定169个目标中哪些涉及我们从文献中整理出的影响社会生态韧性的43个因素中的每一个,来确定当前可持续发展目标的优势和劣势。与社会生态韧性联系最紧密的可持续发展目标是关注环境的目标(可持续发展目标2、6、13、14、15),这些目标也是当前议程实施中一直未得到充分重视的目标。就影响社会生态韧性的43个因素而言,可持续发展目标的优势在于其沟通、包容性决策、财政支持、监管激励、经济多样性以及治理和法律的透明度。相反,可持续发展目标严重缺乏韧性的生态因素,特别是在规模、跨尺度相互作用和非平稳性方面。
2030年后议程应基于可持续发展目标2、6、13、14、15的优势,并填补规模、变异性和反馈方面的差距。