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波兰东南部和乌克兰西部寒潮期间的生物气象条件。

Biometeorological conditions during cold spells in south-east Poland and west Ukraine.

作者信息

Tomczyk Arkadiusz M, Shevchenko Olga, Matzarakis Andreas

机构信息

Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Adam Mickiewicz University, B. Krygowskiego 10, 61-680, Poznań, Poland.

Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, 64/13, Volodymyrska Street, Kyiv, 01601, Ukraine.

出版信息

Int J Biometeorol. 2023 Dec;67(12):2025-2036. doi: 10.1007/s00484-023-02559-4. Epub 2023 Oct 2.

Abstract

The aim of this research is to analyze the biometeorological conditions, based on the Physiologically Equivalent Temperature (PET) thermal index, during cold spells (CSs) in south-east Poland and west Ukraine during the years 1966-2021. The research shows a high variability of the occurrence of CSs in the study period and a clear increase in the frequency and total duration of CSs in the east of the study area. The number of CSs in the analyzed years varies from 6 cases in the west (in Katowice) to 34 in the east of the study area (in Shepetivka). The total duration of CSs varied from 26 days (in Raciborz and Katowice) to 166 days (in Rivne). At the majority of stations, CSs occurred most frequently in the first two decades (1966/1967-1975/1976, 1976/1977-1985/986) and in the last full decade (2006/2007-2015/2016). The average PET values at 12:00 UTC during CSs decreased eastwards throughout the study domain and were generally lower than -20.0 °C in the west of Ukraine, while in south-east Poland varied between -18.1 and -20.0 °C. At 40% of stations across the study domain, the lowest average PET values were recorded during a cold spell in January 1987, with PET values varying from -28.0 °C in Chernivtsi to -12.7 °C in Yaremche. The longest or one of the longest spells in most stations (in 77% of stations across the study domain) was the cold spell of 2012 and characterized by mean PET values ranging from -25.4 °C in Rivne to -19.5 °C in Zakopane.

摘要

本研究旨在基于生理等效温度(PET)热指数,分析1966年至2021年期间波兰东南部和乌克兰西部寒潮期间的生物气象条件。研究表明,在研究期间寒潮发生情况变化很大,且研究区域东部寒潮的频率和总持续时间明显增加。分析年份中的寒潮次数从西部(卡托维兹)的6次到研究区域东部(舍佩季夫卡)的34次不等。寒潮的总持续时间从26天(拉齐布日和卡托维兹)到166天(罗夫诺)不等。在大多数站点,寒潮最频繁发生在头两个十年(1966/1967 - 1975/1976、1976/1977 - 1985/1986)以及最后一个完整十年(2006/2007 - 2015/2016)。在整个研究区域,协调世界时12:00时寒潮期间的平均PET值向东递减,乌克兰西部通常低于 -20.0°C,而波兰东南部则在 -18.1°C至 -20.0°C之间变化。在整个研究区域40%的站点,1987年1月寒潮期间记录到了最低平均PET值,PET值从切尔诺夫策的 -28.0°C到亚雷姆采的 -12.7°C不等。大多数站点(整个研究区域77%的站点)最长或最长寒潮之一是2012年的寒潮,其平均PET值范围从罗夫诺的 -25.4°C到扎科帕内的 -19.5°C。

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