Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
PolicyLab, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
BMC Med. 2023 Nov 7;21(1):422. doi: 10.1186/s12916-023-03116-x.
Maternal pre-gestational diabetes (PGDM), gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), and overweight/obesity have been associated with increased risks of offspring neurodevelopmental conditions (NDCs) including autism, intellectual disability (ID), and attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). Less is known about whether and how obstetric and neonatal complications (e.g., preterm birth, neonatal asphyxia) could mediate these associations.
In this Swedish register-based cohort study, we examined complications during pregnancy, delivery, and the neonatal period as potential mediators of the relationships between maternal metabolic conditions and offspring NDCs. We quantified the extent to which these obstetric and neonatal factors could mediate the associations of maternal metabolic conditions with offspring NDCs by applying parametric regression models for single mediation analyses and weighting-based methods for multiple mediation analyses under counterfactual frameworks.
The study sample included 2,352,969 singleton children born to 1,299,692 mothers from 1987-2010 who were followed up until December 31, 2016, of whom 135,832 children (5.8%) were diagnosed with at least one NDC. A substantial portion of the association between maternal PGDM and children's odds of NDCs could be explained by the combined group of obstetric and neonatal complications in the multiple mediation analysis. For instance, these complications explained 44.4% of the relationship between maternal PGDM and offspring ID risk. The proportion of the relationship between maternal overweight/obesity and children's risk of NDCs that could be explained by obstetric and neonatal complications was considerably smaller, ranging from 1.5 to 8.1%. Some complications considered on their own, including pregnancy hypertensive diseases, preterm birth, neonatal asphyxia, and hematological comorbidities, could explain at least 10% of the associations between maternal PGDM and offspring NDCs. Complications during the neonatal period showed a stronger joint mediating effect for the relationship between PGDM and offspring NDCs than those during pregnancy or delivery.
Obstetric and neonatal complications could explain nearly half of the association between maternal PGDM and offspring risk of NDCs. The mediating effects were more pronounced for complications during the neonatal period and for specific complications such as pregnancy hypertensive diseases, preterm birth, neonatal asphyxia, and hematological comorbidities. Effective preventive strategies for offspring NDCs should holistically address both the primary metabolic issues related to PGDM and the wide array of potential complications, especially those in the neonatal period.
母体妊娠前糖尿病(PGDM)、妊娠期糖尿病(GDM)和超重/肥胖与后代神经发育障碍(NDC)的风险增加有关,包括自闭症、智力障碍(ID)和注意缺陷/多动障碍(ADHD)。关于产科和新生儿并发症(例如早产、新生儿窒息)是否以及如何介导这些关联,人们知之甚少。
在这项基于瑞典登记的队列研究中,我们研究了妊娠、分娩和新生儿期的并发症,作为母体代谢状况与后代 NDC 之间关系的潜在中介因素。我们通过应用参数回归模型进行单一中介分析和基于权重的方法进行多重中介分析,在反事实框架下,量化了这些产科和新生儿因素在多大程度上可以介导母体代谢状况与后代 NDC 之间的关联。
研究样本包括 1987 年至 2010 年间 1299692 名母亲所生的 2352969 名单胎儿童,这些儿童在 2016 年 12 月 31 日前接受了随访,其中 135832 名儿童(5.8%)被诊断出至少有一种 NDC。在多重中介分析中,母体 PGDM 与儿童 NDC 发生几率之间的关联可以通过产科和新生儿并发症的综合组来解释。例如,这些并发症解释了母体 PGDM 与后代 ID 风险之间关系的 44.4%。母体超重/肥胖与儿童 NDC 风险之间关系可以用产科和新生儿并发症来解释的比例要小得多,范围在 1.5%至 8.1%之间。一些单独考虑的并发症,包括妊娠高血压疾病、早产、新生儿窒息和血液学合并症,至少可以解释母体 PGDM 与后代 NDC 之间关系的 10%。在新生儿期发生的并发症对 PGDM 与后代 NDC 之间关系的联合中介作用比妊娠或分娩期间发生的并发症更强。
产科和新生儿并发症可以解释母体 PGDM 与后代 NDC 风险之间近一半的关联。在新生儿期发生的并发症以及妊娠高血压疾病、早产、新生儿窒息和血液学合并症等特定并发症的中介作用更为明显。有效预防后代 NDC 的策略应全面解决与 PGDM 相关的主要代谢问题以及广泛的潜在并发症,尤其是新生儿期的并发症。