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估算韩国猪场非洲猪瘟的感染时间。

Estimating the time of infection for African swine fever in pig farms in Korea.

作者信息

Yoon Hachung, Son Youngmin, Kim Kyung-Sook, Lee Ilseob, Kim Yeon-Hee, Lee Eunesub

机构信息

Veterinary Epidemiology Division, Animal and Plant Quarantine Agency, Gimcheon, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Front Vet Sci. 2023 Nov 23;10:1281152. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2023.1281152. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

African swine fever (ASF) is a highly contagious and lethal disease with characteristics of hemorrhagic fever. ASF outbreaks in pig farms significantly damage the entire pork industry. Understanding the transmission dynamics of ASF is crucial to effectively respond. Notably, it is important to know when the infection started on the outbreak farm. This study aimed at establishing a procedure for estimating the time of infection on pig farms affected by the ASF outbreak in Korea. The protocol for sampling to detect ASF virus infection, the estimation of the time interval between infection and detection, and the estimation of the infection stage parameters for the simulation model were described. After infection, fattening sheds (9.8 days in median) had the longest detection time compared with pregnant (8.6 days) or farrowing sheds (8.0 days). The intervals were 8.8 days for farrow-to-finisher farms, 7.0 days for farrow-to-weaning farms, and 9.5 days for fattening farms. The findings of this study provide valuable insights into ASF outbreaks in pig farms thus, improving the disease control ability.

摘要

非洲猪瘟(ASF)是一种具有出血热特征的高度传染性和致命性疾病。猪场爆发ASF会严重损害整个猪肉行业。了解ASF的传播动态对于有效应对至关重要。值得注意的是,了解疫情猪场感染开始的时间很重要。本研究旨在建立一种程序,用于估计韩国受ASF疫情影响的猪场的感染时间。描述了用于检测ASF病毒感染的采样方案、感染与检测之间时间间隔的估计以及模拟模型感染阶段参数的估计。感染后,育肥舍(中位时间为9.8天)与怀孕舍(8.6天)或产仔舍(8.0天)相比,检测时间最长。从产仔到育肥农场的间隔为8.8天,从产仔到断奶农场的间隔为7.0天,育肥农场的间隔为9.5天。本研究的结果为猪场ASF疫情提供了有价值的见解,从而提高了疾病控制能力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/89f7/10701385/cabe998b6115/fvets-10-1281152-g001.jpg

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