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全球快速变化使超过 17000 个树种面临风险。

More than 17,000 tree species are at risk from rapid global change.

机构信息

Center for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere (ECONOVO) & Center for Biodiversity Dynamics in a Changing World (BIOCHANGE), Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.

Department of Ecology and Evolution and Eversource Energy Center, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2024 Jan 2;15(1):166. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-44321-9.

Abstract

Trees are pivotal to global biodiversity and nature's contributions to people, yet accelerating global changes threaten global tree diversity, making accurate species extinction risk assessments necessary. To identify species that require expert-based re-evaluation, we assess exposure to change in six anthropogenic threats over the last two decades for 32,090 tree species. We estimated that over half (54.2%) of the assessed species have been exposed to increasing threats. Only 8.7% of these species are considered threatened by the IUCN Red List, whereas they include more than half of the Data Deficient species (57.8%). These findings suggest a substantial underestimation of threats and associated extinction risk for tree species in current assessments. We also map hotspots of tree species exposed to rapidly changing threats around the world. Our data-driven approach can strengthen the efforts going into expert-based IUCN Red List assessments by facilitating prioritization among species for re-evaluation, allowing for more efficient conservation efforts.

摘要

树木对全球生物多样性和大自然对人类的贡献至关重要,但全球变化的加速威胁着全球树木的多样性,因此需要对物种的灭绝风险进行准确评估。为了确定需要基于专家评估的物种,我们评估了过去二十年中六种人为威胁对 32090 个树种的影响。我们估计,评估的物种中有一半以上(54.2%)已经受到了不断增加的威胁。这些物种中只有 8.7%被 IUCN 红色名录认为受到威胁,而其中包括一半以上的数据不足物种(57.8%)。这些发现表明,在当前的评估中,对树种面临的威胁及其相关灭绝风险存在严重低估。我们还绘制了全球面临快速变化威胁的树种热点地区的地图。我们的数据驱动方法可以通过在物种中优先进行重新评估来加强基于专家的 IUCN 红色名录评估的努力,从而更有效地进行保护工作。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5705/10761716/f0d192634039/41467_2023_44321_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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