Department of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Department of Population and Public Health Sciences, Division of Biostatistics, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Stat Methods Med Res. 2024 May;33(5):745-764. doi: 10.1177/09622802241231496. Epub 2024 Mar 19.
Assessing heterogeneity between studies is a critical step in determining whether studies can be combined and whether the synthesized results are reliable. The statistic has been a popular measure for quantifying heterogeneity, but its usage has been challenged from various perspectives in recent years. In particular, it should not be considered an absolute measure of heterogeneity, and it could be subject to large uncertainties. As such, when using to interpret the extent of heterogeneity, it is essential to account for its interval estimate. Various point and interval estimators exist for . This article summarizes these estimators. In addition, we performed a simulation study under different scenarios to investigate preferable point and interval estimates of . We found that the Sidik-Jonkman method gave precise point estimates for when the between-study variance was large, while in other cases, the DerSimonian-Laird method was suggested to estimate . When the effect measure was the mean difference or the standardized mean difference, the -profile method, the Biggerstaff-Jackson method, or the Jackson method was suggested to calculate the interval estimate for due to reasonable interval length and more reliable coverage probabilities than various alternatives. For the same reason, the Kulinskaya-Dollinger method was recommended to calculate the interval estimate for when the effect measure was the log odds ratio.
评估研究之间的异质性是确定研究是否可以合并以及综合结果是否可靠的关键步骤。 统计量是一种用于量化异质性的常用方法,但近年来从不同角度对其使用提出了挑战。特别是,它不应该被视为异质性的绝对衡量标准,并且可能存在很大的不确定性。因此,在使用 来解释异质性的程度时,必须考虑其区间估计。 存在各种 的点估计和区间估计。本文总结了这些估计量。此外,我们在不同情况下进行了模拟研究,以研究 的首选点估计和区间估计。我们发现,当研究间方差较大时,Sidik-Jonkman 方法为 提供了精确的点估计,而在其他情况下,建议使用 DerSimonian-Laird 方法估计 。当效应度量为均数差值或标准化均数差值时,建议使用 -profile 方法、Biggerstaff-Jackson 方法或 Jackson 方法计算 的区间估计,因为它们的区间长度合理且置信概率更可靠,优于各种替代方法。出于同样的原因,当效应度量为对数优势比时,建议使用 Kulinskaya-Dollinger 方法计算 的区间估计。