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全球和平与健康的货币模型。

A monetary model of global peace and health.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Faculty of Administrative Sciences and Economics, University of Isfahan, Isfahan, Iran.

出版信息

Global Health. 2024 Apr 9;20(1):28. doi: 10.1186/s12992-024-01029-9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This study aims to expand on the concept of peace and health by drawing from Keynes' theory of the economic consequences of peace, in light of the global pandemic experienced in 2020 due to COVID_19.

METHODS

In this paper, I will elaborate on the concept of 'security', as an indicator of peace in the time of biological shocks, in order to expand the definition of Keynesian precautionary motivation. This puts forth a new monetary policy model developed to make contributions to achieving global peace. In so doing, I will calculate the optimal growth rate of discount rate through utilizing the Global Peace Index (GPI), adjusted by the Case Fatality Risk (CFR) of COVID-19 in a dynamic shopping time monetary model. This analysis is comprised of the top 15 GDP countries as well as the 10 most and least peaceful countries in 2020.

RESULTS

The results indicate that households in more peaceful and healthy countries tend to hold less money compared to those in less peaceful and healthy countries. Besides, the discount rate needs to be reduced due to the outbreak of COVID-19 and the decrease in the level of peace in the economy.

CONCLUSION

Insofar as the imposition of fines through international legal circles on countries with an insignificant health and peace policy will increase the cost of liquidity, other alternative methods of financing will be affor dable for the countries.

摘要

背景

本研究旨在通过借鉴凯恩斯关于和平带来的经济后果理论,扩展和平与健康的概念,以应对 2020 年因 COVID-19 而爆发的全球大流行病。

方法

在本文中,我将详细阐述“安全”的概念,将其作为生物冲击时期和平的指标,以扩展凯恩斯预防性动机的定义。这提出了一种新的货币政策模型,旨在为实现全球和平做出贡献。为此,我将通过利用全球和平指数(GPI),并根据 COVID-19 的病死率(CFR)对其进行调整,在动态购物时间货币模型中计算出最优的贴现率增长率。该分析包括了 2020 年 GDP 排名前 15 的国家以及和平程度最高和最低的 10 个国家。

结果

结果表明,与和平程度和健康水平较低的国家相比,和平程度和健康水平较高的国家的家庭持有较少的货币。此外,由于 COVID-19 的爆发和经济和平水平的下降,需要降低贴现率。

结论

只要国际法律界对卫生和和平政策薄弱的国家实施罚款,就会增加流动性成本,其他可供选择的融资方式将对这些国家来说是负担得起的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b327/11337587/db5d02b4a1e2/12992_2024_1029_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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