Ma Ji, Zheng Shenggen, Lin Shangjing, Cheng Yonghong
School of Network Security, Jinling Institute of Technology, Nanjing 211169, China.
School of Economics and Management, Anhui Polytechnic University, Wuhu 241000, China.
Biomimetics (Basel). 2024 Jun 17;9(6):368. doi: 10.3390/biomimetics9060368.
Public transportation scheduling aims to optimize the allocation of resources, enhance efficiency, and increase passenger satisfaction, all of which are crucial for building a sustainable urban transportation system. As a complement to public transportation, bike-sharing systems provide users with a solution for the last mile of travel, compensating for the lack of flexibility in public transportation and helping to improve its utilization rate. Due to the characteristics of shared bikes, including peak usage periods in the morning and evening and significant demand fluctuations across different areas, optimizing shared bike dispatch can better meet user needs, reduce vehicle vacancy rates, and increase operating revenue. To address this issue, this article proposes a comprehensive decision-making approach for spatiotemporal demand prediction and bike dispatch optimization. For demand prediction, we design a T-GCN (Temporal Graph Convolutional Network)-based bike demand prediction model. In terms of dispatch optimization, we consider factors such as dispatch capacity, distance restrictions, and dispatch costs, and design an optimization solution based on genetic algorithms. Finally, we validate the approach using shared bike operating data and show that the T-GCN can effectively predict the short-term demand for shared bikes. Meanwhile, the optimization model based on genetic algorithms provides a complete dispatch solution, verifying the model's effectiveness. The shared bike dispatch approach proposed in this paper combines demand prediction with resource scheduling. This scheme can also be extended to other transportation scheduling problems with uncertain demand, such as store replenishment delivery and intercity inventory dispatch.
公共交通调度旨在优化资源配置、提高效率并提升乘客满意度,所有这些对于构建可持续的城市交通系统都至关重要。作为公共交通的补充,共享单车系统为用户提供了出行最后一公里的解决方案,弥补了公共交通灵活性不足的问题,并有助于提高其利用率。由于共享单车的特点,包括早晚高峰使用时段以及不同区域需求波动较大,优化共享单车调度可以更好地满足用户需求、降低车辆空置率并增加运营收入。为解决这一问题,本文提出了一种用于时空需求预测和单车调度优化的综合决策方法。对于需求预测,我们设计了一种基于时间图卷积网络(T-GCN)的自行车需求预测模型。在调度优化方面,我们考虑了调度能力、距离限制和调度成本等因素,并设计了一种基于遗传算法的优化解决方案。最后,我们使用共享单车运营数据对该方法进行了验证,结果表明T-GCN能够有效预测共享单车的短期需求。同时,基于遗传算法的优化模型提供了完整的调度解决方案,验证了该模型的有效性。本文提出的共享单车调度方法将需求预测与资源调度相结合。该方案还可扩展到其他具有不确定需求的交通调度问题,如商店补货配送和城际库存调度。