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政治信任如何与经济和环境政策的优先排序相关?2017 年至 2022 年的纵向分析。

How is political trust associated with economic and environmental policy prioritization? A longitudinal analysis between 2017 and 2022.

机构信息

Department of Social Research, University of Turku, Assistentinkatu 7, 20014, Turku, Finland.

INVEST Research Flagship Centre, University of Turku, Assistentinkatu 7, 20014, Turku, Finland.

出版信息

Ambio. 2025 Jan;54(1):43-56. doi: 10.1007/s13280-024-02054-z. Epub 2024 Aug 13.

DOI:10.1007/s13280-024-02054-z
PMID:39138810
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11607284/
Abstract

In this article, we examine the longitudinal development of economy-over-environment policy priorities in Finland during a period marked by several significant adverse societal events. In addition, we explore the influence of political trust on these priorities over time. We utilize a five-round panel dataset comprising 2155 observations (N = 431) to examine both within-individual and between-individual variations from late 2017 to early 2023. Our findings reveal a significant increase in the prioritization of the economy in each observation period following the COVID-19 outbreak. However, this trend is not observed among individuals with high levels of political trust. The within-individual analysis indicates that high political trust moderates, rather than causes, higher economy-over-environment prioritization. Our study highlights the significance of political trust as a preventing factor against the deprioritization of environmental policies, particularly when societies confront significant and intersecting adverse events.

摘要

本文考察了在经历多次重大社会负面事件的背景下,芬兰在经济优先于环境政策方面的长期发展情况。此外,我们还探讨了政治信任对这些政策重点随时间变化的影响。我们使用了一个包含 2155 个观测值(N=431)的五轮面板数据集,从 2017 年底到 2023 年初,分别考察了个体内和个体间的变化。我们的研究结果表明,在 COVID-19 爆发后,每个观察期内经济的优先级都显著增加。然而,在政治信任度较高的个体中并没有观察到这一趋势。个体内分析表明,高政治信任度会缓和而不是导致经济优先于环境的优先级提高。本研究强调了政治信任作为防止环境政策降权的重要因素,尤其是当社会面临重大且相互交织的负面事件时。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/646a/11607284/a5d8a94fc8c9/13280_2024_2054_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/646a/11607284/fb920fbf6783/13280_2024_2054_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/646a/11607284/a5d8a94fc8c9/13280_2024_2054_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/646a/11607284/fb920fbf6783/13280_2024_2054_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/646a/11607284/a5d8a94fc8c9/13280_2024_2054_Fig2_HTML.jpg

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