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空气污染对公共健康的影响:基于时空异质性的分析——中国 31 个省、直辖市 2013-2020 年的数据。

Public health impacts of air pollution from the spatiotemporal heterogeneity perspective: 31 provinces and municipalities in China from 2013 to 2020.

机构信息

School of Hospital Economics and Management, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Hefei, China.

Key Laboratory of Data Science and Innovative Development of Chinese Medicine in Anhui Province Philosophy and Social, Hefei, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2024 Aug 2;12:1422505. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1422505. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Air pollution has long been a significant environmental health issue. Previous studies have employed diverse methodologies to investigate the impacts of air pollution on public health, yet few have thoroughly examined its spatiotemporal heterogeneity. Based on this, this study investigated the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the impacts of air pollution on public health in 31 provinces in China from 2013 to 2020 based on the theoretical framework of multifactorial health decision-making and combined with the spatial durbin model and the geographically and temporally weighted regression model. The findings indicate that: (1) Air pollution and public health as measured by the incidence of respiratory diseases (IRD) in China exhibit significant spatial positive correlation and local spatial aggregation. (2) Air pollution demonstrates noteworthy spatial spillover effects. After controlling for economic development and living environment factors, including disposable income, population density, and urbanization rate, the direct and indirect spatial impacts of air pollution on IRD are measured at 3.552 and 2.848, correspondingly. (3) China's IRD is primarily influenced by various factors such as air pollution, economic development, living conditions, and healthcare, and the degree of its influence demonstrates an uneven spatiotemporal distribution trend. The findings of this study hold considerable practical significance for mitigating air pollution and safeguarding public health.

摘要

空气污染一直是一个重大的环境健康问题。先前的研究采用了多种方法来研究空气污染对公众健康的影响,但很少有研究彻底探讨其时空异质性。基于此,本研究以多因素健康决策理论框架为基础,结合空间杜宾模型和时空加权回归模型,从 2013 年到 2020 年,调查了中国 31 个省份空气污染对公众健康影响的时空异质性。研究结果表明:(1)中国的空气污染和公众健康(以呼吸道疾病发病率衡量)表现出显著的空间正相关和局部空间聚集。(2)空气污染具有显著的空间溢出效应。在控制经济发展和生活环境因素(包括可支配收入、人口密度和城市化率)后,空气污染对呼吸道疾病的直接和间接空间影响分别为 3.552 和 2.848。(3)中国的呼吸道疾病主要受空气污染、经济发展、生活条件和医疗保健等多种因素的影响,其影响程度呈现出不均匀的时空分布趋势。本研究的结果对于减轻空气污染和保护公众健康具有重要的实际意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd76/11327077/1e499778b1c7/fpubh-12-1422505-g001.jpg

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