Fibroblast growth factor 21 inversely correlates with survival in elderly population - the results of the Polsenior2 study.

Fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) is a liver-secreted hormone involved in the regulation of lipid, glucose, and energy metabolism. Its serum concentration increases with age but also is higher in numerous diseases. FGF21 is being investigated for biomarker properties and as a potential therapeutic target. The present study aimed to assess the prognostic value of FGF21 in an older population-based cohort, the PolSenior2 study participants. In the sub-analysis of 3512 individuals, aged 60 and older, stratified according to FGF21 into tertiles, the survival estimate was worse in participants with middle and high levels compared to the lowest tertile. These results were consistent with univariable Cox regression analysis, in which participants in the middle and the high FGF21 tertiles after adjustment for age had 1.43-fold (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.05 - 1.62) and 2.56-fold (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.59 - 2.37) higher risk for mortality, respectively, compared with those in the lowest tertile. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, the highest levels of FGF21 were associated with increased mortality (HR 1.53; 95% CI, 1.22 - 1.92) independently of co-morbidities and blood parameters. These results indicate that higher serum FGF21 concentration is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in the general population of older adults.