The Center for Health AI and Synthesis of Evidence (CHASE), University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia.
Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia.
JAMA Netw Open. 2024 Oct 1;7(10):e2441970. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.41970.
Obesity is associated with increased severity of COVID-19. Whether obesity is associated with an increased risk of post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) among pediatric populations, independent of its association with acute infection severity, is unclear.
To quantify the association of body mass index (BMI) status before SARS-CoV-2 infection with pediatric PASC risk, controlling for acute infection severity.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cohort study occurred at 26 US children's hospitals from March 2020 to May 2023 with a minimum follow-up of 179 days. Eligible participants included children and young adults aged 5 to 20 years with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Data analysis was conducted from October 2023 to January 2024.
BMI status assessed within 18 months before infection; the measure closest to the index date was selected. The BMI categories included healthy weight (≥5th to <85th percentile for those aged 5-19 years or ≥18.5 to <25 for those aged >19 years), overweight (≥85th to <95th percentile for those aged 5-19 years or ≥25 to <30 for for those aged >19 years), obesity (≥95th percentile to <120% of the 95th percentile for for those aged 5-19 years or ≥30 to <40 for those aged >19 years), and severe obesity (≥120% of the 95th percentile for those aged 5-19 years or ≥40 for those aged >19 years).
To identify PASC, a diagnostic code specific for post-COVID-19 conditions was used and a second approach used clusters of symptoms and conditions that constitute the PASC phenotype. Relative risk (RR) for the association of BMI with PASC was quantified by Poisson regression models, adjusting for sociodemographic, acute COVID severity, and other clinical factors.
A total of 172 136 participants (mean [SD] age at BMI assessment 12.6 [4.4] years; mean [SD] age at cohort entry, 13.1 [4.4] years; 90 187 female [52.4%]) were included. Compared with participants with healthy weight, those with obesity had a 25.4% increased risk of PASC (RR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.06-1.48) and those with severe obesity had a 42.1% increased risk of PASC (RR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.25-1.61) when identified using the diagnostic code. Compared with those with healthy weight, there was an increased risk for any occurrences of PASC symptoms and conditions among those with obesity (RR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.06-1.15) and severe obesity (RR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.14-1.21), and the association held when assessing total incident occurrences among those with overweight (RR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.00-1.11), obesity (RR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.09-1.19), and severe obesity (RR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.14-1.22).
In this cohort study, elevated BMI was associated with a significantly increased PASC risk in a dose-dependent manner, highlighting the need for targeted care to prevent chronic conditions in at-risk children and young adults.
重要性:肥胖与 COVID-19 严重程度增加有关。肥胖是否与儿科人群 SARS-CoV-2 感染后急性后遗症(PASC)的风险增加有关,而与急性感染严重程度无关,目前尚不清楚。
目的:定量评估 SARS-CoV-2 感染前的体重指数(BMI)状况与儿科 PASC 风险之间的关联,同时控制急性感染严重程度。
设计、地点和参与者:这是一项回顾性队列研究,在美国 26 家儿童医院进行,从 2020 年 3 月至 2023 年 5 月,随访时间至少为 179 天。纳入标准为年龄在 5 至 20 岁之间的 SARS-CoV-2 感染的儿童和青少年。数据分析于 2023 年 10 月至 2024 年 1 月进行。
暴露:感染前 18 个月内评估的 BMI 状况;选择最接近索引日期的测量值。BMI 类别包括健康体重(5-19 岁者为第 5-85 百分位,>19 岁者为 18.5-25)、超重(5-19 岁者为第 85-95 百分位,>19 岁者为 25-30)、肥胖(5-19 岁者为第 95-120%百分位,>19 岁者为 30-40)和重度肥胖(5-19 岁者为第 120%百分位以上,>19 岁者为 40 以上)。
主要结果和措施:为了识别 PASC,使用了特定于 COVID-19 后疾病的诊断代码,第二种方法使用了构成 PASC 表型的症状和疾病聚类。通过泊松回归模型量化 BMI 与 PASC 之间关联的相对风险(RR),同时调整了社会人口统计学、急性 COVID 严重程度和其他临床因素。
结果:共纳入 172136 名参与者(BMI 评估时的平均[SD]年龄为 12.6[4.4]岁;入组时的平均[SD]年龄为 13.1[4.4]岁;90187 名女性[52.4%])。与健康体重的参与者相比,肥胖者发生 PASC 的风险增加了 25.4%(RR,1.25;95%CI,1.06-1.48),严重肥胖者发生 PASC 的风险增加了 42.1%(RR,1.42;95%CI,1.25-1.61),当使用诊断代码进行识别时。与健康体重的参与者相比,肥胖者(RR,1.11;95%CI,1.06-1.15)和严重肥胖者(RR,1.17;95%CI,1.14-1.21)发生任何 PASC 症状和疾病的风险增加,超重(RR,1.05;95%CI,1.00-1.11)、肥胖(RR,1.13;95%CI,1.09-1.19)和严重肥胖(RR,1.18;95%CI,1.14-1.22)的总发生率也呈增加趋势。
结论:在这项队列研究中,BMI 升高与儿科 PASC 风险呈显著剂量依赖性增加相关,这突出表明需要针对有风险的儿童和青少年进行有针对性的护理,以预防慢性疾病。