Sanchez-Guevara Carmen, Núñez Peiró Miguel, Taylor Jonathon, Mavrogianni Anna, González Javier Neila
School of Architecture (ETSAM) Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
UCL Institute for Environmental Design and Engineering, UCL, London, UK.
Energy Build. 2019 May 1;190:132-143. doi: 10.1016/j.enbuild.2019.02.024.
Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and duration of hot weather and its associated adverse health effects. In dense urban areas, these phenomena will be exacerbated by the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect and indoor overheating. This paper assesses population exposure and vulnerability to high summer temperatures by exploring the geospatial connection between the UHI, housing energy efficiency and overheating risk, and social vulnerability indicators, such as income and the elderly population. Focusing on Madrid and London, two European cities with strong UHIs but contrasting drivers of indoor heat risk, the spatial distribution of selected indicators were analysed by means of Geographical Information Systems, and areas with the highest vulnerability towards summer energy poverty were identified. It was found that while 'hot and vulnerable' areas are present in both Madrid and London, there are significant differences in climate, socioeconomic distribution and housing between the two cities. In warmer climates such as Madrid, energy poverty-traditionally defined by wintertime heating-requires its definition to be broadened to include summertime cooling needs; in the context of climate change and urban warming trends, this may soon also be the case in northern cities such as London.
气候变化预计会增加炎热天气的频率和持续时间及其相关的不利健康影响。在人口密集的城市地区,这些现象将因城市热岛(UHI)效应和室内过热而加剧。本文通过探索城市热岛、住房能源效率与过热风险以及社会脆弱性指标(如收入和老年人口)之间的地理空间联系,评估了夏季高温下的人口暴露情况和脆弱性。以马德里和伦敦这两个具有强烈城市热岛效应但室内热风险驱动因素不同的欧洲城市为重点,通过地理信息系统分析了选定指标的空间分布,并确定了对夏季能源贫困最脆弱的地区。研究发现,虽然马德里和伦敦都存在“炎热且脆弱”的地区,但两个城市在气候、社会经济分布和住房方面存在显著差异。在马德里等气候较温暖的地区,传统上由冬季供暖定义的能源贫困需要扩大其定义,以包括夏季制冷需求;在气候变化和城市变暖趋势的背景下,伦敦等北方城市可能很快也会出现这种情况。