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长期温度和降水与慢性呼吸道症状的关联:变化气候下的预测。

The Associations of Long-Term Temperature and Precipitation with Chronic Respiratory Symptoms: Projections for the Changing Climate.

机构信息

School of Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, POB 1627, 70211, Kuopio, Finland.

Unit for Medicine and Clinical Research, Pulmonary Division, Kuopio University Hospital, PL 100, 70029, Kuopio, KYS, Finland.

出版信息

Lung. 2024 Nov 29;203(1):7. doi: 10.1007/s00408-024-00763-6.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To clarify the associations of climatic indices with chronic respiratory symptoms, with a final aim to approximate the effects of climate change on them.

METHODS

An e-mail survey was directed to the members of the Finnish Pensioners` Federation. The mean 20-years' precipitation and temperature in each subjects' home municipality were obtained from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, separately for summer and winter. Adjusted multivariate models were utilized to investigate the associations of the climatic indices with chronic rhinosinusitis, chronic cough, wheezing with dyspnea, and sleep apnea.

RESULTS

There were 6189 responders from 283 municipalities. Chronic rhinosinusitis and chronic cough were most prevalent in the southeastern regions of the country, where the precipitation counts were highest. In the multivariate models, winter precipitation in the home municipality increased the risks of chronic rhinosinusitis and chronic cough [adjusted OR 1.80 (1.30-2.51) per 100 mm, p < 0.001, and 1.57 (1.19-2.07) per 100 mm, p = 0.001, respectively]. Wheezing with dyspnea and sleep apnea were not associated with the climatic indices.

CONCLUSION

Chronic rhinosinusitis and chronic cough were associated with long-term winter precipitation. Given the anticipated increase in winter precipitation in Northern America and Northern Europe, the prevalences of chronic rhinosinusitis and chronic cough may increase there.

摘要

目的

阐明气候指数与慢性呼吸系统症状的关联,最终目的是估算气候变化对这些症状的影响。

方法

向芬兰养老金领取者联合会的成员发送了一封电子邮件调查。每位受试者家乡市镇的 20 年平均降水量和温度,由芬兰气象研究所分别在夏季和冬季获取。利用调整后的多变量模型,研究气候指数与慢性鼻-鼻窦炎、慢性咳嗽、伴有呼吸困难的喘息以及睡眠呼吸暂停之间的关联。

结果

在 283 个市镇中,有 6189 名受访者做出了回应。慢性鼻-鼻窦炎和慢性咳嗽在该国东南部地区最为普遍,这些地区的降水量最高。在多变量模型中,家乡市镇的冬季降水量增加了患慢性鼻-鼻窦炎和慢性咳嗽的风险[调整后的比值比(OR)分别为每增加 100 毫米时为 1.80(1.30-2.51),p<0.001 和 1.57(1.19-2.07),p=0.001]。喘息伴呼吸困难和睡眠呼吸暂停与气候指数无关。

结论

慢性鼻-鼻窦炎和慢性咳嗽与长期冬季降水有关。鉴于北美和北欧冬季降水预计会增加,慢性鼻-鼻窦炎和慢性咳嗽的患病率可能会在这些地区增加。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0419/11607035/eba081fa410c/408_2024_763_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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