Palaniappan Ashwin, Bonnell Levi N, Blitzer David, Takayama Hiroo, Kaneko Tsuyoshi, Habib Robert H, Sellke Frank W
Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Columbia University, New York, New York.
Ann Thorac Surg. 2025 Jun;119(6):1231-1239. doi: 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2024.12.012. Epub 2024 Dec 24.
We sought to identify predictors of acute renal failure (ARF) after acute type A aortic dissection (ATAAD) and its implications for postoperative outcomes.
ATAAD cases were identified from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (2017-2022). Cases with chronic dissection, prior aortic repair, primary endovascular repair, preoperative extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, preoperative renal failure, and operative room deaths were excluded. ARF was defined as either a 3-fold increase in creatinine concentration or creatinine concentration >4 mg/dL with an increment ≥0.5 mg/dL from baseline or new dialysis requirement postoperatively. Predictors of ARF were identified by multivariable logistic regression with corresponding adjusted odds ratio (AOR [95% CI]).
Of 22,313 patients (age, 60.2 ± 13.7 years; 66.2% male) undergoing ATAAD repair at 868 hospitals, 3696 (16.6%) had ARF, and of these, 2918 (79.0%) required dialysis. ATAAD volume increased from 3693 in 2017 to 4334 in 2022 (P < .001), whereas the proportion of ARF decreased slightly yet significantly from 17.2% in 2017 to 16.3% in 2022 (P < .001). A well-calibrated and discriminating (C statistic, 0.77 [0.75-0.78]) multivariable model identified 27 independent predictors of ARF. Bilateral renal malperfusion (AOR, 4.88 [3.50-6.81]), preoperative creatinine per 0.1 mg/dL (AOR, 1.12 [1.11-1.14]), intraoperative transfusion (AOR, 1.63 [1.21-2.18]), and cardiogenic shock (AOR, 1.46 [1.24-1.72]) were strongly associated with increased ARF. Conversely, female sex (AOR, 0.72 [0.61-0.86]) was protective. Failure to rescue after ARF following ATAAD repair was 42% CONCLUSIONS: This study identified patient factors that significantly increase the risk of ARF after ATAAD repair that may alert the clinical team to implement potential protective interventions.
我们试图确定急性A型主动脉夹层(ATAAD)后急性肾衰竭(ARF)的预测因素及其对术后结局的影响。
从胸外科医师协会成人心脏手术数据库(2017 - 2022年)中识别ATAAD病例。排除慢性夹层、既往主动脉修复、初次血管腔内修复、术前体外膜肺氧合、术前肾衰竭和手术室死亡的病例。ARF定义为肌酐浓度增加3倍或肌酐浓度>4mg/dL,且较基线水平升高≥0.5mg/dL或术后有新的透析需求。通过多变量逻辑回归确定ARF的预测因素,并计算相应的调整优势比(AOR[95%CI])。
在868家医院接受ATAAD修复的22313例患者(年龄60.2±13.7岁;66.2%为男性)中,3696例(16.6%)发生ARF,其中2918例(79.0%)需要透析。ATAAD病例数从2017年的3693例增加到2022年的4334例(P<.001),而ARF的比例从2017年的17.2%略有下降但显著降至2022年的16.3%(P<.001)。一个校准良好且具有鉴别力(C统计量,0.77[0.75 - 0.78])的多变量模型确定了27个ARF的独立预测因素。双侧肾灌注不良(AOR,4.88[3.50 - 6.81])每0.1mg/dL的术前肌酐(AOR,1.12[1.11 - 1.14])、术中输血(AOR,1.63[1.21 - 2.18])和心源性休克(AOR,1.46[1.24 - 1.72])与ARF增加密切相关。相反,女性(AOR,0.72[0.61 - 0.86])具有保护作用。ATAAD修复后ARF患者的未挽救率为42%。结论:本研究确定了ATAAD修复后显著增加ARF风险的患者因素,这可能提醒临床团队实施潜在的保护性干预措施。