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汇总64个低收入和中等收入国家的复杂调查数据:一项关于五岁以下儿童抗生素使用情况的研究。

Pooling the complex survey data across the 64 lower and middle-income countries: A study on antibiotic usage in under-five children.

作者信息

Islam Md Fakrul, Arka Prosenjit Basak, Rohman Mahfuzer, Hossain Md Sabbir, Babu Md Rashed, Azhari Hasin Anupama, Uddin Md Jamal

机构信息

Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Public Health Research Team, Department of Statistics, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, 3114, Bangladesh.

Institute of Natural Sciences, United International University, Dhaka, Bangladesh.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Dec 26;11(1):e41470. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e41470. eCollection 2025 Jan 15.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Antibiotic exposure for fever/cough has been rising alarmingly, especially among children under five in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). This excessive use could result in higher healthcare costs, and antibiotic resistance is an alarming trend in developing countries. As a result, it's crucial to look at the variables that affect antibiotic exposure and highlight the subgroups among whom antibiotic abuse is the most prevalent.

METHODS

We used the most recent standard Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data for 64 LMICs. Sample weights were employed in studies to ensure exact standard errors and estimate -values. To analyze antibiotic exposures across countries, continents, economic levels, and the top and bottom ten countries with fever/cough, we conducted descriptive statistics. Additionally, we provided accompanying bar diagrams for each descriptive finding to enhance visual understanding. For geospatial analysis, we utilized ArcGIS, a powerful tool for mapping and spatial analysis.

FINDINGS

We used data from 141,018 children under five who were reported to have had fever/cough recently in 64 LMICs. Among them, 30.4 % were exposed to antibiotics for fever/cough. Congo (68.7 %), Egypt (65.5 %), and Tajikistan (61.8 %) had the highest prevalence of antibiotic consumption across LMICs. On the other hand, Cameroon (0.3 %), Armenia (4.0 %), and Mauritania (6.1 %) had the lowest. In the final binary logistic regression, mothers that had any formal education (Primary: OR = 1.28, 95 % CI:1.07-1.53, Secondary: OR = 1.38, 95 % CI:1.14-1.67, Higher Education: OR = 1.69, 95 % CI:1.23-2.33) were more likely to expose their children to antibiotics for fever/cough than illiterate ones. Additionally, children in richer households (Richer: OR = 1.38, 95 % CI:1.15-1.66, Richest: OR = 1.46, 95 % CI:1.19-1.80) were more likely to receive antibiotics than those in poorer households.

CONCLUSIONS

Antibiotic exposure for fever/cough in children under five was relatively moderate across 64 LMICs. However, the rate was incredibly high in some LMICs and incredibly low in others. The researchers recommend that the countries with high and low percentages of antibiotic exposure investigate either any possibility of antibiotic abuse or proper healthcare service at the national level.

摘要

背景

因发烧/咳嗽而使用抗生素的情况一直在惊人地增加,尤其是在低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)五岁以下的儿童中。这种过度使用可能导致更高的医疗成本,而且抗生素耐药性在发展中国家是一个令人担忧的趋势。因此,研究影响抗生素使用的变量并找出抗生素滥用最普遍的亚组至关重要。

方法

我们使用了64个低收入和中等收入国家最新的标准人口与健康调查(DHS)数据。研究中采用了样本权重以确保准确的标准误差并估计p值。为了分析不同国家、各大洲、经济水平以及发烧/咳嗽情况排名前十和后十位的国家的抗生素使用情况,我们进行了描述性统计。此外,我们为每个描述性结果提供了配套的柱状图,以增强直观理解。对于地理空间分析,我们使用了ArcGIS,这是一个用于制图和空间分析的强大工具。

研究结果

我们使用了64个低收入和中等收入国家中141,018名五岁以下儿童的数据,这些儿童近期被报告有发烧/咳嗽症状。其中,30.4%的儿童因发烧/咳嗽使用了抗生素。在所有低收入和中等收入国家中,刚果(68.7%)、埃及(65.5%)和塔吉克斯坦(61.8%)的抗生素消费率最高。另一方面,喀麦隆(0.3%)、亚美尼亚(4.0%)和毛里塔尼亚(6.1%)的抗生素消费率最低。在最终的二元逻辑回归中,接受过任何正规教育的母亲(小学:OR = 1.28,95% CI:1.07 - 1.53;中学:OR = 1.38,95% CI:1.14 - 1.67;高等教育:OR = 1.69,95% CI:1.23 - 2.33)比文盲母亲更有可能让孩子因发烧/咳嗽而使用抗生素。此外,富裕家庭的孩子(较富裕:OR = 1.38,95% CI:1.15 - 1.66;最富裕:OR = 1.46,95% CI:1.19 - 1.80)比贫困家庭的孩子更有可能接受抗生素治疗。

结论

在64个低收入和中等收入国家中,五岁以下儿童因发烧/咳嗽使用抗生素的情况相对适中。然而,在一些低收入和中等收入国家这一比例极高,而在另一些国家则极低。研究人员建议,抗生素使用率高和低的国家应在国家层面调查抗生素滥用的可能性或适当的医疗服务情况。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fb78/11743117/6e044f71c876/gr1.jpg

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