Kandori Shuya, Suzuki Shuhei, Kojo Kosuke, Isoda Bunpei, Tanaka Takazo, Nitta Satoshi, Shiga Masanobu, Nagumo Yoshiyuki, Ikeda Atsushi, Kawahara Takashi, Hoshi Akio, Negoro Hiromitsu, Mathis Bryan J, Okuyama Ayako, Nishiyama Hiroyuki
Department of Urology, University of Tsukuba, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8575, Japan.
Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, University of Tsukuba, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8575, Japan.
BMC Cancer. 2025 Jan 24;25(1):138. doi: 10.1186/s12885-025-13572-8.
To identify the prognosis of Japanese patients with collecting duct carcinoma (CDC).
We used a hospital-based cancer registry data in Japan to extract CDC cases that were diagnosed in 2013, histologically confirmed, and determined the first course of treatment. We further investigated treatment modalities and estimated overall survival (OS) by the Kaplan-Meier method.
A total of 61 CDC patients were identified. The 5-year OS rate for all CDC patients who were diagnosed in Japan during 2013 was 23.6% (95% CI: 15.0-37.4), with a median OS of 14 months (95% CI: 12-24). The 5-year OS rate for CDC patients at stages I, III, and IV were 53.0% (95% CI: 29.9-94.0), 35.7% (95% CI: 19.8-64.4), and 3.4% (95% CI: 0.5-23.7), respectively. Noteworthy, the 1-year OS for stage IV patients was 27.6% (95% CI: 0.5-23.7) and the median OS was only 5 months (95% CI: 4-12). We further examined the OS for advanced disease according to treatment modalities. The median OS of patients who undertook chemotherapy alone was significantly shorter than patients who undertook surgery alone for advanced disease (4 months [95% CI: 4-NA] vs. 15 months [95% CI: 13-68]; p < 0.001) and surgery-only patients had a similar median OS as surgery-plus-chemotherapy patients (19 months [95% CI: 13-NA]; p < 0.001). Moreover, a multivariable analysis for the OS in advanced disease revealed that surgery-plus-chemotherapy patients had significantly more favorable prognoses (HR 0.21, 95% CI: 0.07-0.57).
Japanese CDC patients face poor prognoses similar to Western countries, especially in advanced cases that receive only chemotherapy. Surgery appears necessary for advanced disease.
确定日本集合管癌(CDC)患者的预后情况。
我们利用日本一家医院的癌症登记数据,提取2013年诊断、经组织学确诊并确定了初始治疗方案的CDC病例。我们进一步研究了治疗方式,并采用Kaplan-Meier法估计总生存期(OS)。
共识别出61例CDC患者。2013年在日本诊断的所有CDC患者的5年总生存率为23.6%(95%置信区间:15.0 - 37.4),中位总生存期为14个月(95%置信区间:12 - 24)。I期、III期和IV期CDC患者的5年总生存率分别为53.0%(95%置信区间:29.9 - 94.0)、35.7%(95%置信区间:19.8 - 64.4)和3.4%(95%置信区间:0.5 - 23.7)。值得注意的是,IV期患者的1年总生存率为27.6%(95%置信区间:0.5 - 23.7),中位总生存期仅为5个月(95%置信区间:4 - 12)。我们进一步根据治疗方式检查了晚期疾病的总生存期。对于晚期疾病,单纯接受化疗的患者的中位总生存期显著短于单纯接受手术的患者(4个月[95%置信区间:4 - 无可用数据]对15个月[95%置信区间:13 - 68];p < 0.001),且单纯手术患者的中位总生存期与手术加化疗患者相似(19个月[95%置信区间:13 - 无可用数据];p < 0.001)。此外,对晚期疾病总生存期的多变量分析显示,手术加化疗患者的预后明显更优(风险比0.21,95%置信区间:0.07 - 0.57)。
日本CDC患者的预后与西方国家相似较差,尤其是在仅接受化疗的晚期病例中。对于晚期疾病,手术似乎是必要的。