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美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)评分是中重度创伤性脑损伤后1年预后的独立预测指标。

ASA score is an independent predictor of 1-year outcome after moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury.

作者信息

Kiwanuka Olivia, Lassarén Philipp, Fletcher-Sandersjöö Alexander, Tatter Charles, Tjerkaski Jonathan, Nelson David W, Thelin Eric P

机构信息

Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Department of Surgery, Södersjukhuset, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med. 2025 Feb 6;33(1):25. doi: 10.1186/s13049-025-01338-x.

Abstract

PURPOSE

This study aimed to investigate whether incorporating pre-injury health status, measured by the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, improves outcome prediction models for moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury (msTBI) patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective single-center study of msTBI patients (2005-2021). The primary outcome was 1-year Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS, dichotomized as GOS1-3 (unfavorable) vs. 4-5 (favorable)), and secondary outcome was 90-day mortality. Logistic regression evaluated the contribution of ASA score to the International Mission for Prognosis and Clinical Trials in Traumatic Brain Injury (IMPACT) core + CT outcome prediction model incorporating age, admission GCS, pupillary reactivity, Marshall CT classification, hypoxia, hypotension, epidural hematoma, and subarachnoid hemorrhage.

RESULTS

Among the 720 adult patients that were included 51% had an unfavorable GOS at 1 year. The 90-day mortality was 19%. ASA score and TRISS were independently associated with both outcomes (p < 0.001). Incorporating the ASA score to our IMPACT model significantly enhanced its explanatory value of dichotomized GOS (35% vs. 32% variance explained, p < 0.001) and improved the model's prognostic accuracy.

CONCLUSION

In this retrospective single-center cohort study, we found that ASA score improves existing prognostic models for msTBI. Incorporating this simple comorbidity measure could enhance outcome prediction and support more personalized acute management. Future prospective studies are needed to validate these results.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨纳入由美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)评分衡量的伤前健康状况,是否能改善中重度创伤性脑损伤(msTBI)患者的预后预测模型。

方法

我们对msTBI患者(2005 - 2021年)进行了一项回顾性单中心研究。主要结局为1年格拉斯哥预后量表(GOS,分为GOS1 - 3(不良)与4 - 5(良好)),次要结局为90天死亡率。逻辑回归评估了ASA评分对纳入年龄、入院时格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)、瞳孔反应性、马歇尔CT分级、低氧血症、低血压、硬膜外血肿和蛛网膜下腔出血的国际创伤性脑损伤预后与临床试验任务组(IMPACT)核心+CT结局预测模型的贡献。

结果

在纳入的720例成年患者中,51%在1年时GOS不良。90天死亡率为19%。ASA评分和创伤严重度特征评分(TRISS)均与这两个结局独立相关(p < 0.001)。将ASA评分纳入我们的IMPACT模型显著提高了其对二分法GOS的解释价值(解释方差为35%对32%,p < 0.001),并提高了模型的预后准确性。

结论

在这项回顾性单中心队列研究中,我们发现ASA评分改善了现有的msTBI预后模型。纳入这种简单的合并症测量方法可以增强结局预测,并支持更个性化的急性管理。未来需要进行前瞻性研究来验证这些结果。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7c19/11804083/947fa166cd8a/13049_2025_1338_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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