Duan Kaifeng, Khan Naqib Ullah, Liu Hailong, Ariza-Montes Antonio, Gil-Marín Miseldra
School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350108, China.
School of Public Administration, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China.
J Environ Manage. 2025 Apr;379:124757. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124757. Epub 2025 Mar 9.
This study explores the moderating effect of trade diversification on the relationship between global value-chain participation and natural resource rents for 106 nations from 2005 to 2018. The study employs an extended system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) model to address potential challenges related to endogeneity and serial correlation. The results demonstrate how natural resource rents inhibit global value-chain participation by multinational firms, deterring them from investing in resource-dependent economies and restricting their integration into global trade networks. Trade diversification serves an essential moderation role in this process; nations with more diverse trade arrangements are less vulnerable to resource rents' negative effect on global value-chain participation. Furthermore, this study unleashes the significance of employing ecologically sustainable methods to mitigate resource exploitation's detrimental environmental impacts and ensure a balanced economic development model. Diversifying trade links and export quality improvement efforts with diversifying trade can increase trade links, strengthen international value chains and facilitate adoption of new technologies and information encouraging participation in global value chains. Our findings underscore the significance of policy actions which promote trade diversification to better manage natural resources, leverage resource rents for long-term economic growth and build resilience against future economic shocks.
本研究探讨了2005年至2018年期间贸易多元化对106个国家全球价值链参与度与自然资源租金之间关系的调节作用。该研究采用扩展系统广义矩估计(GMM)模型来应对与内生性和序列相关性相关的潜在挑战。结果表明,自然资源租金如何抑制跨国公司参与全球价值链,阻止它们在资源依赖型经济体投资,并限制它们融入全球贸易网络。贸易多元化在这一过程中发挥着重要的调节作用;贸易安排更多样化的国家较不易受到资源租金对全球价值链参与度的负面影响。此外,本研究揭示了采用生态可持续方法减轻资源开采对环境的不利影响并确保经济发展模式平衡的重要性。通过贸易多元化来增加贸易联系和提高出口质量的努力,可以增加贸易联系、加强国际价值链,并促进新技术和信息的采用,从而鼓励参与全球价值链。我们的研究结果强调了政策行动的重要性,这些行动促进贸易多元化,以更好地管理自然资源,利用资源租金实现长期经济增长,并增强抵御未来经济冲击的能力。