Guo Yi-Fan, Rong Yihui, Chen Yan-Ping, Yang Song, Zhou Guangde, Niu Xiao-Xia, Wu Xiao-Huan, Liu Yue-Ran, Zhang Wen-Jing, Li Le, Liu Yan, Wang Wen-Chang, Li Xu-Yang, Wang Chun-Yan, Yang Wucai, Guo Chang, Tan Lin, Wang Fu-Sheng, Ji Dong
Peking University 302 Clinical Medical School, Beijing, China; Senior Department of Hepatology, The Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
Department of Infectious Diseases, Peking University International Hospital, Beijing, China.
Antiviral Res. 2025 Sep;241:106234. doi: 10.1016/j.antiviral.2025.106234. Epub 2025 Jul 5.
Whether patients aged ≤30 years with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and normal alanine transaminase (ALT) levels (<40 U/L) should receive antiviral therapy is controversial. In this study, we aimed to identify high-risk factors of significant hepatic damage (SHD) and established a scoring system to guide the decision to administer antiviral treatment. Eligible patients who underwent a liver biopsy were retrospectively screened and randomly assigned to either a training or validation set. Hepatic fibrosis (S0-4) and inflammation (G0-4) were assessed using the Scheuer scoring system. The independent risk factors associated with SHD (≥G2/S2) were identified using univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses, and a new scoring system based on these factors was established. Among the 883 enrolled patients, 548 (62.1 %) were male, and 250 (28.5 %) presented with SHD. ALT, platelet count, HBV DNA, and liver stiffness measurement were identified as independent risk factors. A new scoring model based on these factors, named APLB, was developed. The area under the curve of APLB was 0.731 (95 % confidence interval, 0.695-0.764), which was significantly higher than those of the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index. An APLB score <6 points ruled out SHD with 80.2 % sensitivity, while scores >12 points diagnosed SHD with 97.5 % specificity. In conclusion, the APLB scoring model demonstrated superior diagnostic performance compared with the APRI and the FIB-4 index, and it has the potential to guide the decision to initiate antiviral therapy in this patient group.
年龄≤30岁的慢性乙型肝炎(CHB)患者且丙氨酸转氨酶(ALT)水平正常(<40 U/L)是否应接受抗病毒治疗存在争议。在本研究中,我们旨在确定显著肝损伤(SHD)的高危因素,并建立一个评分系统以指导抗病毒治疗决策。对接受肝活检的符合条件的患者进行回顾性筛选,并随机分为训练集或验证集。使用Scheuer评分系统评估肝纤维化(S0 - 4)和炎症(G0 - 4)。通过单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析确定与SHD(≥G2/S2)相关的独立危险因素,并基于这些因素建立一个新的评分系统。在883例入组患者中,548例(62.1%)为男性,250例(28.5%)出现SHD。ALT、血小板计数、HBV DNA和肝脏硬度测量被确定为独立危险因素。基于这些因素开发了一种名为APLB的新评分模型。APLB的曲线下面积为0.731(95%置信区间,0.695 - 0.764),显著高于天冬氨酸转氨酶与血小板比值指数(APRI)和纤维化-4(FIB-4)指数。APLB评分<6分以80.2%的灵敏度排除SHD,而评分>12分以97.5%的特异性诊断SHD。总之,与APRI和FIB-4指数相比,APLB评分模型表现出卓越的诊断性能,并且有潜力指导该患者群体启动抗病毒治疗的决策。