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撒哈拉以南非洲地区孕妇产前护理利用情况的空间差异——贝叶斯地理加性建模方法

Spatial disparities of antenatal care utilization among pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa-Bayesian geo-additive modelling approach.

作者信息

Belay Denekew Bitew, Fenta Haile Mekonnen, Birhan Nigussie Adam, Rad Najmeh Nakhaei, Chen Ding-Geng

机构信息

Department of Statistics, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.

Department of Statistics, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2025 Jun 27;13:1517724. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2025.1517724. eCollection 2025.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Antenatal care (ANC) is critical for ensuring healthy pregnancies and positive birth outcomes. Despite its importance, significant disparities in ANC access and utilization exist across sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), influenced by various socioeconomic, geographical, and systemic factors. This study aimed to analyze the spatial disparities in the proportion of recommended ANC utilization and its associated risk factors among pregnant women in 34 sub-Saharan African countries.

METHOD

This study utilized the most recent Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 34 countries across the SSA region. To assess the spatial disparities and their associated risk factors of ANC utilization, a geo-additive model via the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) was adopted.

RESULT

The overall prevalence of recommended ANC utilization in SSA was 22.15%, with a significant difference between countries, ranging from 0.27% in Rwanda to 76.28% in Zimbabwe. Both Moran's I and Geary's C tests, with different neighborhood structures, evidenced the existence of spatial autocorrelation of ANC utilization among women in SSA countries. A Bayesian geo-additive model with Besag-York-Mollié (BYM) mixed effect was found to be the best model to assess the spatial dependencies and the non-linear effects of the factors on ANC utilization among women of reproductive age. The study showed that the existence of spatial disparities in ANC utilization and media exposure, as well as the mother's work status, partner's working status, age of mother, age at first cohabitation, and place of delivery, has a significant effect on ANC utilization.

CONCLUSION

The overall coverage of recommended ANC in SSA countries falls short of the global minimum recommended ANC utilization. The lower coverage and inequality of ANC utilizations are influenced by underutilization of healthcare services, economic status, women's education coverage, poor/absence of transportation facilities, and media exposure related to healthy reproduction. Empowering women through different media outlets, strengthening their economic power, easy access to health facilities, and decision-making power increases maternal healthcare service utilization.

摘要

背景

产前保健对于确保孕期健康及良好的分娩结局至关重要。尽管其很重要,但受各种社会经济、地理和系统因素影响,撒哈拉以南非洲地区(SSA)在产前保健的可及性和利用率方面存在显著差异。本研究旨在分析34个撒哈拉以南非洲国家孕妇中推荐的产前保健利用率比例的空间差异及其相关风险因素。

方法

本研究使用了撒哈拉以南非洲地区34个国家的最新人口与健康调查(DHS)数据。为评估产前保健利用的空间差异及其相关风险因素,采用了通过集成嵌套拉普拉斯近似法(INLA)的地理加性模型。

结果

撒哈拉以南非洲地区推荐的产前保健总体利用率为22.15%,各国之间存在显著差异,从卢旺达的0.27%到津巴布韦的76.28%不等。采用不同邻域结构的莫兰指数(Moran's I)和Geary系数(Geary's C)检验均证明了撒哈拉以南非洲国家女性产前保健利用存在空间自相关性。发现具有Besag-York-Mollié(BYM)混合效应的贝叶斯地理加性模型是评估育龄女性产前保健利用的空间依赖性和因素非线性效应的最佳模型。研究表明,产前保健利用、媒体曝光以及母亲的工作状况、伴侣的工作状况、母亲年龄、首次同居年龄和分娩地点的空间差异对产前保健利用有显著影响。

结论

撒哈拉以南非洲国家推荐的产前保健总体覆盖率未达到全球最低推荐的产前保健利用率。产前保健利用的覆盖率较低和不平等受到医疗服务利用不足、经济状况差、女性教育覆盖率低、交通设施匮乏或缺失以及与健康生殖相关的媒体曝光的影响。通过不同媒体渠道增强女性权能、增强其经济实力、方便获得医疗设施以及决策权可提高孕产妇医疗服务利用率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed0b/12247177/8a0f19180df1/fpubh-13-1517724-g001.jpg

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