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预后营养指数是老年肝细胞癌患者术后一种更好的基于炎症的预后标志物。

Prognostic nutritional index is a better inflammation based prognostic marker in elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after surgery.

作者信息

Wu Qionglan, Zeng Jinhua, Zeng Jianxing

机构信息

Department of Pathology, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.

Hepatobiliary Medical Center of Fujian Province, Mengchao Hepatobiliary Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2025 Aug 20;15(1):30510. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-12158-5.

Abstract

The role of inflammation-related markers in patients with elderly hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not well known. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the prognostic value of various inflammation-related markers in elderly HCC patients after radical resection.350 elderly HCC patients after radical resection were included. Survival rate and prognostic analysis were using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis. The prognostic value of inflammation-related markers was compared by C-index and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Propensity score matching (PSM) was used for patient selection to minimize bias. The C-index and time-dependent AUC showed that PNI was higher than the other inflammation-related markers. After PSM, the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival rates in the low prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and high PNI groups were 83.3%, 69.5%, 51.5%, and 95.0%, 87.8%, 71.3% (p = 0.047), respectively. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year recurrence-free survival rates in the two groups were 63.3%, 47.8%, 24.5%, and 86.7%, 76.3%, 57.1% (p < 0.001), respectively. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that PNI was the independent risk factor associated with death (p = 0.016, HR = 0.552) and tumor recurrence (p = 0.001, HR = 0.432). PNI was a better inflammation-based prognostic marker in elderly HCC patients after radical resection. This simple marker could help physicians determine elder HCC patients at high risk of tumor recurrence for frequent clinical surveillance.

摘要

炎症相关标志物在老年肝细胞癌(HCC)患者中的作用尚不清楚。本研究旨在评估和比较各种炎症相关标志物在老年HCC患者根治性切除术后的预后价值。纳入了350例老年HCC根治性切除术后患者。采用Kaplan-Meier法和Cox回归分析进行生存率和预后分析。通过C指数和时间依赖性受试者工作特征曲线(AUC)比较炎症相关标志物的预后价值。采用倾向评分匹配(PSM)进行患者选择以尽量减少偏倚。C指数和时间依赖性AUC显示,预后营养指数(PNI)高于其他炎症相关标志物。PSM后,低PNI组和高PNI组的1年、3年和5年总生存率分别为83.3%、69.5%、51.5%和95.0%、87.8%、71.3%(p = 0.047)。两组的1年、3年和5年无复发生存率分别为63.3%、47.8%、24.5%和86.7%、76.3%、57.1%(p < 0.001)。多因素Cox回归显示,PNI是与死亡(p = 0.016,HR = 0.552)和肿瘤复发(p = 0.001,HR = 0.432)相关的独立危险因素。PNI是老年HCC患者根治性切除术后基于炎症的较好预后标志物。这个简单的标志物可以帮助医生确定有肿瘤复发高风险的老年HCC患者,以便进行频繁的临床监测。

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