Heckerling P S, Verp M S
Department of Medicine, University of Illinois, Chicago 60680.
Med Care. 1994 Aug;32(8):863-80. doi: 10.1097/00005650-199408000-00008.
Amniocentesis and chorionic villus sampling are tests for the prenatal diagnosis of cytogenetic abnormalities. We calculated the incremental costs per abnormal birth averted, and the incremental costs per quality-adjusted outcome, of amniocentesis and chorionic villus sampling performed for the indication of maternal age. Probabilities were obtained from the literature, and direct medical costs from hospital charges deflated to reflect aggregated contracted care reimbursements. Utilities were used to quality-adjust prenatal testing outcomes. Based on costs per abnormal birth averted, at all maternal ages from 30 to 43 years, amniocentesis was more cost-effective than chorionic villus sampling; at ages 44 and 45, chorionic villus sampling was more cost-effective. However, if the anxiety reduction provided by first-trimester diagnosis was equivalent to a 0.2% risk of an abnormal child, chorionic villus sampling was more cost-effective than amniocentesis at all maternal ages. Based on data from the 1988 United States natality cohort, the current policy of testing women aged 35 and older would cost $103,329 and $111,184 per abnormal birth averted for amniocentesis and chorionic villus sampling, respectively. Testing women aged 30 and older would almost double these costs. For either prenatal test, targeting high risk women for testing, and striving for utilization rates of 50% or higher, appeared to be the most cost-effective policy.
羊膜穿刺术和绒毛取样是用于产前诊断细胞遗传学异常的检测方法。我们计算了因产妇年龄指征而进行的羊膜穿刺术和绒毛取样每避免一例异常出生的增量成本,以及每质量调整后结果的增量成本。概率取自文献,直接医疗成本根据医院收费进行折算以反映汇总的合同护理报销情况。效用被用于对产前检测结果进行质量调整。基于每避免一例异常出生的成本,在30至43岁的所有产妇年龄中,羊膜穿刺术比绒毛取样更具成本效益;在44岁和45岁时,绒毛取样更具成本效益。然而,如果孕早期诊断所带来的焦虑减轻相当于生出异常孩子的风险降低0.2%,那么在所有产妇年龄中,绒毛取样都比羊膜穿刺术更具成本效益。根据1988年美国出生队列的数据,目前对35岁及以上女性进行检测的政策,对于羊膜穿刺术和绒毛取样,每避免一例异常出生分别将花费103,329美元和111,184美元。对30岁及以上女性进行检测的成本几乎会翻倍。对于任何一种产前检测,针对高危女性进行检测,并争取达到50%或更高的利用率,似乎是最具成本效益的政策。