Ebert D, Weisser W W
NERC Centre for Population Biology, Imperial College at Silwood Park, Ascot, Berkshire, UK.
Proc Biol Sci. 1997 Jul 22;264(1384):985-91. doi: 10.1098/rspb.1997.0136.
Many viral, bacterial and protozoan parasites of invertebrates first propagate inside their host without releasing any transmission stages and then kill their host to release all transmission stages at once. Life history and the evolution of virulence of these obligately killing parasites are modelled, assuming that within-host growth is density dependent. We find that the parasite should kill the host when its per capita growth rate falls to the level of the host mortality rate. The parasite should kill its host later when the carrying capacity, K, is higher, but should kill it earlier when the parasite-independent host mortality increases or when the parasite has a higher birth rate. When K(t), for parasite growth, is not constant over the duration of an infection, but increases with time, the parasite should kill the host around the stage when the growth rate of the carrying capacity decelerates strongly. In case that K(t) relates to host body size, this deceleration in growth is around host maturation.
许多无脊椎动物的病毒、细菌和原生动物寄生虫首先在宿主体内繁殖,不释放任何传播阶段,然后杀死宿主,一次性释放所有传播阶段。对这些专性致死寄生虫的生活史和毒力进化进行了建模,假设宿主体内的生长是密度依赖的。我们发现,当寄生虫的人均生长率降至宿主死亡率水平时,它应该杀死宿主。当承载能力K较高时,寄生虫应该在更晚的时候杀死宿主,但当与寄生虫无关的宿主死亡率增加或寄生虫出生率较高时,它应该更早地杀死宿主。当寄生虫生长的K(t)在感染持续时间内不是恒定的,而是随时间增加时,寄生虫应该在承载能力增长率强烈减速的阶段左右杀死宿主。如果K(t)与宿主身体大小有关,这种生长减速发生在宿主成熟前后。