Thun M J, Peto R, Lopez A D, Monaco J H, Henley S J, Heath C W, Doll R
Epidemiology and Surveillance Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA 30329-4251, USA.
N Engl J Med. 1997 Dec 11;337(24):1705-14. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199712113372401.
Alcohol consumption has both adverse and beneficial effects on survival. We examined the balance of these in a large prospective study of mortality among U.S. adults.
Of 490,000 men and women (mean age, 56 years; range, 30 to 104) who reported their alcohol and tobacco use in 1982, 46,000 died during nine years of follow-up. We compared cause-specific and rates of death from all causes across categories of base-line alcohol consumption, adjusting for other risk factors, and related drinking and smoking habits to the cumulative probability of dying between the ages of 35 and 69 years.
Causes of death associated with drinking were cirrhosis and alcoholism; cancers of the mouth, esophagus, pharynx, larynx, and liver combined; breast cancer in women; and injuries and other external causes in men. The mortality from breast cancer was 30 percent higher among women reporting at least one drink daily than among nondrinkers (relative risk, 1.3; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.1 to 1.6). The rates of death from all cardiovascular diseases were 30 to 40 percent lower among men (relative risk, 0.7; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.7 to 0.8) and women (relative risk, 0.6; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.6 to 0.7) reporting at least one drink daily than among nondrinkers, with little relation to the level of consumption. The overall death rates were lowest among men and women reporting about one drink daily. Mortality from all causes increased with heavier drinking, particularly among adults under age 60 with lower risk of cardiovascular disease. Alcohol consumption was associated with a small reduction in the overall risk of death in middle age (ages 35 to 69), whereas smoking approximately doubled this risk.
In this middle-aged and elderly population, moderate alcohol consumption slightly reduced overall mortality. The benefit depended in part on age and background cardiovascular risk and was far smaller than the large increase in risk produced by tobacco.
饮酒对生存既有不利影响,也有有益影响。我们在美国成年人死亡率的一项大型前瞻性研究中考察了二者的平衡。
在1982年报告了饮酒和吸烟情况的490,000名男性和女性(平均年龄56岁;范围30至104岁)中,46,000人在九年随访期内死亡。我们比较了基线饮酒量各分类中的特定病因死亡率和全病因死亡率,并对其他风险因素进行了校正,还将饮酒和吸烟习惯与35至69岁之间的累积死亡概率相关联。
与饮酒相关的死亡原因有肝硬化和酒精中毒;口腔、食管、咽、喉和肝脏的癌症合计;女性乳腺癌;男性的伤害及其他外部原因。报告每天至少饮酒一杯的女性患乳腺癌的死亡率比不饮酒者高30%(相对风险1.3;95%置信区间1.1至1.6)。报告每天至少饮酒一杯的男性(相对风险0.7;95%置信区间0.7至0.8)和女性(相对风险0.6;95%置信区间0.6至0.7)的所有心血管疾病死亡率比不饮酒者低30%至40%,且与饮酒量关系不大。报告每天饮酒约一杯的男性和女性的总体死亡率最低。随着饮酒量增加,全病因死亡率上升,尤其是在心血管疾病风险较低的60岁以下成年人中。饮酒与中年(35至69岁)总体死亡风险略有降低有关,而吸烟使这一风险增加约一倍。
在这一中老年人群中,适度饮酒略微降低了总体死亡率。益处部分取决于年龄和背景心血管疾病风险,且远小于烟草造成的风险大幅增加。